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In reply to the discussion: He can't win the Presidency can he??? [View all]Sympthsical
(9,908 posts)45. He can. Don't think he will
I'm about 60-40 most of the time. 70-30 on my best days. But if someone told you, "There's only a 30% you'll die of cancer this year!" you'd still be anxious about it. It ain't zero.
Plus, this is America. I never count our cultural and technological sedentarianism out.
Too many variables to say anything with confidence, though. There are too many unknowns, factors in play, and final determinations yet to surface over the next 8 months. A lot can and probably will happen. I'm not even totally confident who's going to be on the ballot.
So, we'll see what we see, and just do what we can so enough people take it seriously enough to vote.
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IF AZ and GA revert to their Red norm, we are in a spot of bother, especially if no felony criminal Trump convictions
Celerity
Feb 2024
#10
Of all the close states in 2020, Michigan was Biden's most comfrotable margin.
All Mixed Up
Feb 2024
#93
Those 3 are all he needs. If the map stays the same as 2020 except for those 3 flips, Trump wins 272-266
Celerity
Feb 2024
#69
NC is unlikely to flip Blue. It's went Blue once since 1976, when Obama barely won it in 2008. Biden is not polling well
Celerity
Feb 2024
#99
"Assumption is the mother of all fuckups". tRump does not fight fair & he has Putin's support
Bernardo de La Paz
Feb 2024
#11
He will if people are convinced that voting "uncommitted" and then not voting again is a legitimate response *
Oopsie Daisy
Feb 2024
#13
Exactly. And for those who don't see it: Who the F**K do they think organized Oct. 7th?
RandomNumbers
Feb 2024
#19
He can if people keep making faulty assumptions about GOP primary results.
TwilightZone
Feb 2024
#14
What is totally up in the air at this point is where third parties will be on the ballot.
former9thward
Feb 2024
#37
Yes, it's a pity that we have elected representatives and former candidates encouraging voters to NOT support Biden.
Oopsie Daisy
Feb 2024
#21
We said that in 2016. Bottom line, this time he needs to lose so bad he's humiliated.
tinrobot
Feb 2024
#25
I said and thought Trump could not win in 2016!! so this time I say-yes, it is a possibility.
riversedge
Feb 2024
#28
This is my biggest concern, we barely beat him in 2020 after 4 years of the worst Admin ever. It's 4 years later, and
Silent Type
Feb 2024
#47
60-40 is about where I'm at, which is an improvement from two months ago, when I was probably about 53-47
Midwestern Democrat
Feb 2024
#54
Yes, he can win. Remember 2016 when they said he didn't have a chance.
republianmushroom
Feb 2024
#49
He lost in 2020 by 7 million votes but came close to being reelected because of the fucking Electoral College.
DavidDvorkin
Feb 2024
#50
Yes, but the EC vote would have gone the other way with a small number of changed votes
DavidDvorkin
Feb 2024
#87
The best thing I think could happen is if biden steps down and endorse's harris
Tribetime
Feb 2024
#53
I saw it and turned it off. Because I don't think he was telling the full truth
Tribetime
Feb 2024
#65
Not if all Americans who are opposed to his ideology and practice turn out to vote for Biden
lees1975
Feb 2024
#68
With Florida and Ohio completely out of play, unfortunate yes - Trump can win.
All Mixed Up
Feb 2024
#71
Never underestimate nasty white people - history shows us that again and again.
walkingman
Feb 2024
#109