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BlueCheeseAgain

(1,891 posts)
Wed Jul 3, 2024, 05:08 PM Jul 3

No matter what our opinions are, we have to be fact-based here. [View all]

I took a break from posting a while ago due to too much infighting about Israel-Palestine. But I haven't stopped reading, and this latest sparring over whether President Biden should be the party's nominee feels even worse.

I'm personally undecided about this issue. In the end, only Biden himself can make the decision to step down-- it would be way too difficult to change the ticket against his will. I hope he and his advisors can make a clear, rational decision about what the best course of action is. Defeating Trump is the only objective in November, no matter who the Democratic candidate is.

Having said that, I'm very dismayed at what seems to be a developing orthodoxy at DU that is veering towards conspiracy theories and shutting out inconvenient facts. We all know today's GOP has turned itself into an alternate-reality echo chamber where fiction becomes fact and reality is ignored. We don't want to start down the same path.

If our view of the world requires believing that

* the NYT, CNN, WaPo, and basically every other mainstream news sources is out to get Trump elected,
* polls commissioned by these outlets and done by reputable pollsters are conspiracies designed in advance to attack Biden,
* editorials saying that Trump is a serious threat to our country and that Biden may not be the best person to run against him are in fact pro-Trump,
* the debate format was a trick and the CNN moderators in the bag,
* Democratic leaders such as Pelosi, Clyburn, Whitehouse, and various governors are stupid in being concerned,
* DU members who have been here for over a decade are trolls and saboteurs, or bedwetters or pearl-clutchers, and
* anything posted to the contrary of the above should be ignored or banned

it just might be that it's us whose viewpoint is clouded by bias and what we want to see. (Those aren't even the most fanciful things I've read. Some have suggested that Biden was deliberately drugged by Trump or a CNN staffer.)

Like I said, I don't know what the right path forward is. But I think the following is a pretty accurate description of the current situation:

* Biden was at best tied with Trump going into the debate, and quite possibly trailing slightly
* A large percentage of the population, including a sizable percentage of Democrats, were worried beforehand about Biden's age.
* Biden's performance at the debate was alarming in that respect.
* Post-debate polling by reputable firms is not yet conclusive, but is beginning to show a shift away from Biden. NYT, WSJ, internal Dem pollsters, etc.
* Many Democrats who love Joe Biden and desperately want to defeat Trump are worried that Biden may not be the right person to do it. This includes a lot of elected leaders. It is not the sole province of trolls and scaremongers.

I'm not going to try to explain what I personally think is the right choice-- I don't know. I don't think anybody does. But I do think we should at least agree on the same set of facts before we talk about what's next.

92 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Well stated. I've posted very little since the Israel Palestine NewHendoLib Jul 3 #1
Fwiw, Predictit currently places the odds re- the Presidential election as follows: snot Jul 3 #2
I also go to predictit for all my financial decisions fwiw Nimble_Idea Jul 3 #8
If these sites were more liquid, they would be valid ways to estimate odds. Lucky Luciano Jul 3 #13
Well if that shitstain predictitt said it, then it must be the fucking gospel. SoFlaBro Jul 3 #16
While i think we have a serious problem quakerboy Jul 3 #25
Easy Money on Biden Traurigkeit Jul 3 #55
I think we're more likely to lose than win at this point FBaggins Jul 3 #61
Transaction costs are very high, so not clear if there is easy money Lucky Luciano Jul 3 #67
The 'Dem nomination' odds have moved to about radius777 Jul 4 #87
K & R. Xavier Breath Jul 3 #3
Thank you. Silent3 Jul 3 #4
People like lots of exclamation points!!!!!! AND CAPS. Irish_Dem Jul 3 #28
GREAT POST!!! Think. Again. Jul 3 #41
I'd like to read your comment but you only have four exclamation points. Irish_Dem Jul 3 #43
My limit is 3 exclamation points. Except when someone forgets to use the sarcasm japple Jul 3 #51
Use all caps too. Fight fire with fire. Irish_Dem Jul 3 #52
Most people here are very loyal to the President, and believe that keeping the faith Wingus Dingus Jul 3 #5
Um, it is not a possibility to successfully replace Biden on the ticket. Think. Again. Jul 3 #42
Well said WD. Irish_Dem Jul 3 #56
We must support the nominee. DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 3 #70
I know the right choice, pretty easy Nimble_Idea Jul 3 #6
He is not yet officially our candidate. Goodheart Jul 3 #7
so then we can continue the primary debates? Nimble_Idea Jul 3 #9
Thank you! blurplenurple Jul 3 #10
Then there is the charge that if you have any concerns about Biden's debate performance iemanja Jul 3 #18
I agree, we see a deep insecurity about the election or there would not be Irish_Dem Jul 3 #34
Because Dem4life1234 Jul 3 #27
No one here wants Trump back in the White House iemanja Jul 3 #50
What I cannot grok is Only X can win in combination with TheKentuckian Jul 3 #36
Another aspect: snot Jul 3 #11
Well, technically there were primaries iemanja Jul 3 #19
Correction: Biden did not participate in any primary debates. snot Jul 3 #22
Great idea and hadn't thought about it that way before confoosed Jul 3 #68
Primaries against incumbent presidents tend to end disastrously. Spencer Martin Jul 3 #79
That might be the best take I have seen on this subject genxlib Jul 3 #12
Very well done hueymahl Jul 3 #14
I admire your fealty to reality iemanja Jul 3 #15
Here is one irrefutable fact, President Biden said he is not quitting this race. He is the decider so all this arguing ImNotGod Jul 3 #17
All I know is that I'm anxious beyond measure. Any path forward is a minefield. tinrobot Jul 3 #20
Look, it's a given that DU members will vote for whomever is the D candidate. harumph Jul 3 #21
Thank you. Ms. Toad Jul 3 #23
Biden is NOT getting out. He said it. End of story. We all need to support our nominee. Period. Deek1935 Jul 3 #24
Post removed Post removed Jul 3 #26
What does that mean to you? TexasDem69 Jul 3 #32
Debates and polls are completely non-predictive of ultimate presidential election results. Plain and simple. ZERO. Deek1935 Jul 3 #48
You keep saying that and you cite zero evidence TexasDem69 Jul 3 #60
"...ignoring the polls..." would be a good idea. dchill Jul 3 #72
I'm with you! Dem4life1234 Jul 3 #37
THANK YOU Skittles Jul 3 #29
Trump SUX texasfiddler Jul 3 #30
IOW Skittles Jul 3 #31
True. nt delisen Jul 3 #33
There's an Armenian saying that a person who tells hard truths is driven out of a dozen villages DemocratSinceBirth Jul 3 #35
Thank you. honest.abe Jul 3 #38
All this non-stop nonsense about Biden is simply writing Fox news and GOP talking points for them. hadEnuf Jul 3 #39
I am trying to be as fact-based as possible, and my mind is made up. If Biden withdraws... Rstrstx Jul 3 #40
You just described pretty much where I am at. ShazzieB Jul 3 #74
hem. ive been here since 2000 so i take that as a slap in the face AllaN01Bear Jul 3 #44
i also support jo biden, my opinions are just that and do not neccesarly reflects dus opinio AllaN01Bear Jul 3 #45
I'm with Biden Now is the Time Jul 3 #46
Nice opinions. No Facts Sessuch Jul 3 #47
I hear you, but my take is: Joinfortmill Jul 3 #49
Thank you! H2O Man Jul 3 #53
"...only Biden himself can make the decision..." dchill Jul 3 #54
You want a fact? Bobstandard Jul 3 #57
JFC. Joe had a bad debate. MontanaMama Jul 3 #58
FFS it's not us that need to be told that. Biden needs to get ahead of this. Period. themaguffin Jul 3 #62
Have you read the comments on this thread MontanaMama Jul 3 #63
It doesn't change that good faith discussion can happen. themaguffin Jul 3 #64
Thank you for this excellent post and balanced response dwking66 Jul 3 #59
K&R meadowlander Jul 3 #65
Very well thought out, and very well stated. Abolishinist Jul 3 #66
I believe it is required that we support the nominee. Biden is the nominee. DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 3 #69
Remind me - when did we hold the convention? Ms. Toad Jul 3 #71
Presumptive Nominee. I forego the "presumptive" for brevity and, in my opinion, clarity. DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 3 #73
Link, please. n/t Ms. Toad Jul 3 #76
Of Course DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 4 #81
First - I don't recall a declaration that the primary season was over. Ms. Toad Jul 4 #84
This message was self-deleted by its author DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 4 #86
Biden is the presumptive candidate, but not yet the general election candidate. Ms. Toad Jul 4 #89
Whether the talk is on DU or not is irrelevant iemanja Jul 4 #82
A smart, cogent post. Perhaps the best one I've seen on this topic. Music Man Jul 3 #75
Please, everyone who is asking Biden to step down, please let us know how many presidential Bev54 Jul 3 #77
Both sides need to let that discussion for those in the know DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 4 #83
Where did the OP ask Biden to step down? iemanja Jul 4 #88
Like the Devil tries to make you think he doesn't exist, Turbineguy Jul 3 #78
Baseball analogy - JoeB for 3+ years as opposed to the SlobFather has NoMoreRepugs Jul 4 #80
K&R Blue Owl Jul 4 #85
Unfortunately, opinion and fact are all too often conflated. Patton French Jul 4 #90
it's not a 'theory' that there is a wide spread rw conspiracy to end our democracy. mopinko Jul 4 #91
Keep in mind that polls are snapshots in time LeftInTX Jul 4 #92
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