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radius777

(3,814 posts)

87. The 'Dem nomination' odds have moved to about

Thu Jul 4, 2024, 01:01 AM

Jul 2024

50:50 between Biden and Harris, which says that the market thinks that if Biden isn't the nominee, then it likely will be Harris.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination

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No matter what our opinions are, we have to be fact-based here. [View all] BlueCheeseAgain Jul 2024 OP

Well stated. I've posted very little since the Israel Palestine NewHendoLib Jul 2024 #1

Fwiw, Predictit currently places the odds re- the Presidential election as follows: snot Jul 2024 #2

I also go to predictit for all my financial decisions fwiw Nimble_Idea Jul 2024 #8

If these sites were more liquid, they would be valid ways to estimate odds. Lucky Luciano Jul 2024 #13

Well if that shitstain predictitt said it, then it must be the fucking gospel. SoFlaBro Jul 2024 #16

While i think we have a serious problem quakerboy Jul 2024 #25

Easy Money on Biden Traurigkeit Jul 2024 #55

I think we're more likely to lose than win at this point FBaggins Jul 2024 #61

Transaction costs are very high, so not clear if there is easy money Lucky Luciano Jul 2024 #67

The 'Dem nomination' odds have moved to about radius777 Jul 2024 #87

K & R. Xavier Breath Jul 2024 #3

Thank you. Silent3 Jul 2024 #4

People like lots of exclamation points!!!!!! AND CAPS. Irish_Dem Jul 2024 #28

GREAT POST!!! Think. Again. Jul 2024 #41

I'd like to read your comment but you only have four exclamation points. Irish_Dem Jul 2024 #43

My limit is 3 exclamation points. Except when someone forgets to use the sarcasm japple Jul 2024 #51

Use all caps too. Fight fire with fire. Irish_Dem Jul 2024 #52

Most people here are very loyal to the President, and believe that keeping the faith Wingus Dingus Jul 2024 #5

Um, it is not a possibility to successfully replace Biden on the ticket. Think. Again. Jul 2024 #42

Well said WD. Irish_Dem Jul 2024 #56

We must support the nominee. DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 2024 #70

I know the right choice, pretty easy Nimble_Idea Jul 2024 #6

He is not yet officially our candidate. Goodheart Jul 2024 #7

so then we can continue the primary debates? Nimble_Idea Jul 2024 #9

Thank you! blurplenurple Jul 2024 #10

Then there is the charge that if you have any concerns about Biden's debate performance iemanja Jul 2024 #18

I agree, we see a deep insecurity about the election or there would not be Irish_Dem Jul 2024 #34

Because Dem4life1234 Jul 2024 #27

No one here wants Trump back in the White House iemanja Jul 2024 #50

What I cannot grok is Only X can win in combination with TheKentuckian Jul 2024 #36

Another aspect: snot Jul 2024 #11

Well, technically there were primaries iemanja Jul 2024 #19

Correction: Biden did not participate in any primary debates. snot Jul 2024 #22

Great idea and hadn't thought about it that way before confoosed Jul 2024 #68

Primaries against incumbent presidents tend to end disastrously. Spencer Martin Jul 2024 #79

That might be the best take I have seen on this subject genxlib Jul 2024 #12

Very well done hueymahl Jul 2024 #14

I admire your fealty to reality iemanja Jul 2024 #15

Here is one irrefutable fact, President Biden said he is not quitting this race. He is the decider so all this arguing ImNotGod Jul 2024 #17

All I know is that I'm anxious beyond measure. Any path forward is a minefield. tinrobot Jul 2024 #20

Look, it's a given that DU members will vote for whomever is the D candidate. harumph Jul 2024 #21

Thank you. Ms. Toad Jul 2024 #23

Biden is NOT getting out. He said it. End of story. We all need to support our nominee. Period. Deek1935 Jul 2024 #24

Post removed Post removed Jul 2024 #26

What does that mean to you? TexasDem69 Jul 2024 #32

Debates and polls are completely non-predictive of ultimate presidential election results. Plain and simple. ZERO. Deek1935 Jul 2024 #48

You keep saying that and you cite zero evidence TexasDem69 Jul 2024 #60

"...ignoring the polls..." would be a good idea. dchill Jul 2024 #72

I'm with you! Dem4life1234 Jul 2024 #37

THANK YOU Skittles Jul 2024 #29

Trump SUX texasfiddler Jul 2024 #30

IOW Skittles Jul 2024 #31

True. nt delisen Jul 2024 #33

There's an Armenian saying that a person who tells hard truths is driven out of a dozen villages DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2024 #35

Thank you. honest.abe Jul 2024 #38

All this non-stop nonsense about Biden is simply writing Fox news and GOP talking points for them. hadEnuf Jul 2024 #39

I am trying to be as fact-based as possible, and my mind is made up. If Biden withdraws... Rstrstx Jul 2024 #40

You just described pretty much where I am at. ShazzieB Jul 2024 #74

hem. ive been here since 2000 so i take that as a slap in the face AllaN01Bear Jul 2024 #44

i also support jo biden, my opinions are just that and do not neccesarly reflects dus opinio AllaN01Bear Jul 2024 #45

I'm with Biden Now is the Time Jul 2024 #46

Nice opinions. No Facts Sessuch Jul 2024 #47

I hear you, but my take is: Joinfortmill Jul 2024 #49

Thank you! H2O Man Jul 2024 #53

"...only Biden himself can make the decision..." dchill Jul 2024 #54

You want a fact? Bobstandard Jul 2024 #57

JFC. Joe had a bad debate. MontanaMama Jul 2024 #58

FFS it's not us that need to be told that. Biden needs to get ahead of this. Period. themaguffin Jul 2024 #62

Have you read the comments on this thread MontanaMama Jul 2024 #63

It doesn't change that good faith discussion can happen. themaguffin Jul 2024 #64

Thank you for this excellent post and balanced response dwking66 Jul 2024 #59

K&R meadowlander Jul 2024 #65

Very well thought out, and very well stated. Abolishinist Jul 2024 #66

I believe it is required that we support the nominee. Biden is the nominee. DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 2024 #69

Remind me - when did we hold the convention? Ms. Toad Jul 2024 #71

Presumptive Nominee. I forego the "presumptive" for brevity and, in my opinion, clarity. DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 2024 #73

Link, please. n/t Ms. Toad Jul 2024 #76

Of Course DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 2024 #81

First - I don't recall a declaration that the primary season was over. Ms. Toad Jul 2024 #84

This message was self-deleted by its author DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 2024 #86

Biden is the presumptive candidate, but not yet the general election candidate. Ms. Toad Jul 2024 #89

Whether the talk is on DU or not is irrelevant iemanja Jul 2024 #82

A smart, cogent post. Perhaps the best one I've seen on this topic. Music Man Jul 2024 #75

Please, everyone who is asking Biden to step down, please let us know how many presidential Bev54 Jul 2024 #77

Both sides need to let that discussion for those in the know DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 2024 #83

Where did the OP ask Biden to step down? iemanja Jul 2024 #88

Like the Devil tries to make you think he doesn't exist, Turbineguy Jul 2024 #78

Baseball analogy - JoeB for 3+ years as opposed to the SlobFather has NoMoreRepugs Jul 2024 #80

K&R Blue Owl Jul 2024 #85

Unfortunately, opinion and fact are all too often conflated. Patton French Jul 2024 #90

it's not a 'theory' that there is a wide spread rw conspiracy to end our democracy. mopinko Jul 2024 #91

Keep in mind that polls are snapshots in time LeftInTX Jul 2024 #92