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Walleye

(33,895 posts)

2. I don't trust polls that much, it's like horse racing, go by past performances

Reply to Deek1935 (Original post)

Mon Jul 8, 2024, 11:47 AM

Jul 8

Joe Biden has won nine times in general elections and lost none. Trump has run twice and lost one and never once had the majority of the people on his side. I don’t know if anything major has changed.

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Please ask the following "Presidents" what they think about polls: Dewey, Dukakis, Kerry, Romney, and Hillary Clinton. [View all] Deek1935 Jul 8 OP

Polls are the best we have, trust the science and look at multiple polls. If one is behind the worst candidate in Silent Type Jul 8 #1

Meaningless polls aren't all we have. W_HAMILTON Jul 8 #9

Polls arent meant to be predictive. They're meant to be snapshots. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 8 #26

Talk about blinders BootinUp Jul 8 #12

Sorry, I'm not going dream my way into another election like 2016. Silent Type Jul 8 #14

You can do whatever you like, I will try BootinUp Jul 8 #15

I'm doing the same. Main thing I'm stuck on right now is we are running against the worst candidate ever, and still Silent Type Jul 8 #17

Poll respondents will eventually catch up BootinUp Jul 8 #19

Hope so. Some marginal Democrats might not show up too. Undecideds might skew Silent Type Jul 8 #20

Relying on polls this far out is falling down a rabbit hole coated in bullshit. They are PREDICTIVE of NOTHING. Deek1935 Jul 8 #22

So is sticking your head in the rabbit hole. Silent Type Jul 8 #24

+1. Polling data - especially the polling averages - are a fairly reliable metric radius777 Jul 9 #29

Post removed Post removed Jul 8 #21

Yeah, right. Silent Type Jul 8 #23

I don't trust polls that much, it's like horse racing, go by past performances Walleye Jul 8 #2

At this point in 1988, Dukakis was up 17 points over Bush1 Doc Sportello Jul 8 #3

Was that before or after Dukakis didn't look so cool in the tank photo? Superficial I know, but that is Silent Type Jul 8 #6

Perhaps you could google that Doc Sportello Jul 8 #7

What if the polls are wrong and we are further behind? Silent Type Jul 8 #8

OMG!!!! Doc Sportello Jul 8 #10

What makes you think I'm not working for a Democratic victory? So, you don't think polls could be wrong the other way? Silent Type Jul 8 #13

So you're multitasking? Doc Sportello Jul 8 #16

LOL. Silent Type Jul 8 #18

Even more of a reason for us not to give a damn about them. W_HAMILTON Jul 8 #11

You don't know how American presidential elections actually work. In the end people vote on Deek1935 Jul 8 #25

That's my opinion, although I am not a self-proclaimed expert in elections like you. Silent Type Jul 8 #28

Democrats have been way out performing polls the last few cycles OhZone Jul 8 #4

Yeah! You tell 'em!!1 BannonsLiver Jul 8 #5

Not true. former9thward Jul 8 #27