General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: ANYONE concerned about the shifting polls needs to listen to Keith Olbermann today... [View all]Sea A Chell
(50 posts)I listened to KO. His discussion of the polls is within the first 15 ish minutes, not the whole podcast.
I believe he is correct. He dives down into the details of a seemingly demoralizing poll in Pennsylvania to show the top line result is tweaked as if the pollsters left out voters in Philadelphia!
Also, I have 2 observations about polling in the past 20-30 years. I think the polls the media talk about help create the horse race vibe even if the results are favoring the Dems. Dems have money to spend on ads, and since some media won't tell an accurate story about the two campaigns, the Dems will spend media ad dollars to get out their plans. So it benefits the media financially to create the horse race vibe.
Second, I do think these "polls" are meant to demoralize Dems. I believe we ARE making progress but some publicized polls don't reflect it. It's like that episode of Star Trek with the "Buttheads" who could create the illusion that the Enterprise crew wasn't making progress cracking a glass barrier when they really were.
Third, the number of states with reproductive rights on the ballot will send women and those who love them to the polls. I don't answer calls from people who won't won't leave a message. I'm uncounted in any Michigan poll.
I imagine the campaigns have much more accurate readings of the electorate beyond the polling industrial complex.
We just need to keep up the effort. When we fight, we win!