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Showing Original Post only (View all)"The Blowout No One Sees Coming" from Vantage Data House [View all]
Has anyone heard of this group?
Vantage has been tracking seven swing states daily since August. Until recently, the race consistently appeared as a toss-up. Just a few days ago, the numbers started to shift. It's clear the momentum is moving away from Trump. Here's how our nightly tracking data (1,200 interviews per state) stacks up against what FiveThirtyEight (538) and RealClearPolitics (RCP) are reporting in their averages.
https://app.vantagedatahouse.com/analysis/TheBlowoutNoOneSeesComing-1
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Polling averages cannot be trusted due to manipulation by corrupt Red Wave pollsters. Nt
Fiendish Thingy
Thursday
#3
Thanks! So if a poll has noise that doesn't necessarily mean a poll is bad, right? nt
LAS14
Thursday
#48
ALL polls have noise, more or less, so yes, not necessarily bad. . . . . . nt
Bernardo de La Paz
Thursday
#50
Voters' intentions form a signal. "Noise" is an engineering term meaning anything corrupting a signal.
Bernardo de La Paz
Thursday
#31
OMG! I didn't realize Kamala was losing in every swing states on RCP and most on 538.
Doodley
Thursday
#7
It reflects a recent flood of Republican-leaning polls meant to influence the averages.
SunSeeker
Thursday
#21
This is one point I. Very uncertain of -- Robinson is simply soooo terrible that I'm willing to bet
LauraInLA
Thursday
#8
Yes, NC doesn't make sense. In fact, very little of the polling data makes sense. A lot of people are saying Trump is
LymphocyteLover
Thursday
#43
I'm unclear on this, as well, but they claim they're getting data from 40k responses per state per year with an
LauraInLA
Thursday
#11
Are you telling me that talking about Arnold Palmer's penis is not a winning campaign strategy?
Ray Bruns
Thursday
#22
If these guys have gamed the pollsters, they will be top dog going forward
bucolic_frolic
Thursday
#29
I've been doing my own own averages. At least half of the polls are RW.
kerry-is-my-prez
Thursday
#35