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Tweedy

(977 posts)

26. Definitely do not trust Nate Silver

Reply to ColinC (Original post)

Sat Oct 26, 2024, 05:36 PM

15 hrs ago

He has a gambling problem and is currently working for Peter Thiel.

Peter Thiel who despises all of us hobbits; and yet, he had the unmitigated gall to call his company “palantir”. Somewhere lovely, J.R.R. Tolkien is not amused. 😒

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Highlight:

If your gut says Trump will win [View all] ColinC 18 hrs ago OP

Nate's guts are only feeling one thing: Gaytano70 18 hrs ago #1

Im not a Nate Silver hater and feel that the animosity towards him is a kill the messenger type response ColinC 18 hrs ago #2

Silver isn't a pollster Deminpenn 18 hrs ago #5

Yeah he uses the same method with polls as baseball. ColinC 18 hrs ago #7

So, GIGO Deminpenn 18 hrs ago #8

I imagine there is some value in it. ColinC 18 hrs ago #9

So if he's right 40% of the time COL Mustard 16 hrs ago #18

I mean. Same as if he were right 100% of the time ColinC 16 hrs ago #19

Baseball players and weather forecasters COL Mustard 16 hrs ago #22

Yep ColinC 15 hrs ago #28

Goddess knows why our weather guessers, ooops, forecasters, are still employed. niyad 12 hrs ago #38

He has his plusses Nasruddin 17 hrs ago #12

We're in a better position than they are. pat_k 14 hrs ago #32

See that's the problem. If he simply told what the polls were saying, he might not be too bad. Wiz Imp 13 hrs ago #34

Anybody whose gut is telling them this needs to get off their ass and GOTV. live love laugh 18 hrs ago #3

We all can do something. I convinced one of my undecided friends in MI to vote for Harris after him telling me for weeks ColinC 18 hrs ago #4

I think every vote will count COL Mustard 16 hrs ago #23

And if you feel the abject and deep pain that is fascist fomented fear applegrove 18 hrs ago #6

There are a lot of people like that who can be swayed with strong personal connections. ColinC 18 hrs ago #10

Go Colin! Go Colin! Go Colin! applegrove 18 hrs ago #11

Thanks Applegrove!! ColinC 17 hrs ago #16

My gut tells me trump will lose the vote but... S/V Loner 17 hrs ago #13

The courts won't help him. Elessar Zappa 16 hrs ago #20

I only hope it doesn't go into Congress COL Mustard 16 hrs ago #24

Thanks. I thought it was that burrito I ate. surfered 17 hrs ago #14

Part of my disease profile is IBS, so my gut says rude things to me all the time Warpy 17 hrs ago #15

Polls are less accurate because AdamGG 17 hrs ago #17

If your gut says Trump will win, go to urgent care immediately. milestogo 16 hrs ago #21

So long as I breath I will do what I have to do to see Harris win LostOne4Ever 15 hrs ago #25

Definitely do not trust Nate Silver Tweedy 15 hrs ago #26

Try a little Mme. Defarge 15 hrs ago #27

Nate Silver Metaphorical 15 hrs ago #29

We're in a better position than they are. Believe it. It's True. pat_k 15 hrs ago #30

The only thing my gut tells me is that Harris has a better chance than polling would make it seem, but not the... RidinWithHarris 15 hrs ago #31

I hope everyone is right Ontheboundry 14 hrs ago #33

All true. ColinC 13 hrs ago #36

My gut just polished off a pint of Denali Extreme Moose Tracks. Xavier Breath 13 hrs ago #35

If your gut is sensing an Orange Bastard, maybe it is time for a big b.m. SoFlaBro 12 hrs ago #37

Two words: Alan Lichtman. That is all. Dem4life1970 8 hrs ago #39