General Discussion

RidinWithHarris

(701 posts)

60. Florida +3.7% for Harris?

Sat Oct 26, 2024, 08:36 PM

12 hrs ago

Damn, that's be great if that's accurate. If we see Florida come in for Harris, I think the election is a done deal. Some states might be counting mail-in ballots for a while, Trumper legal challenges might clog up the works for a while before any network wants to declare a winner, but in my opinion having Florida would seal the deal and make all the rest noise.

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Highlight:

"The Blowout No One Sees Coming" from Vantage Data House [View all] LauraInLA Thursday OP

Never heard of them but very encouraging analysis Wiz Imp Thursday #1

Hmmm dweller Thursday #2

Polling averages cannot be trusted due to manipulation by corrupt Red Wave pollsters. Nt Fiendish Thingy Thursday #3

Some polling averages exclude partisan polls. CaptainTruth Thursday #18

No major aggregator excludes all Red Wave pollsters Fiendish Thingy Thursday #33

Which is why I ignore major aggregators like the two you mentioned... CaptainTruth Thursday #47

Check out VoteHub. PAMod Thursday #54

This looks more realistic Rstrstx Thursday #57

Graded by who? Fiendish Thingy Thursday #58

Interesting snip: Dennis Donovan Thursday #4

How, exactly, does "noise" differ among the polls? What is "noise?" nt LAS14 Thursday #10

Here's an old article from 2018: Dennis Donovan Thursday #15

Interesting article, but it doesn't tell me what "noise" is.... LAS14 Thursday #19

Well, I'll try cally Thursday #30

Thanks! So if a poll has noise that doesn't necessarily mean a poll is bad, right? nt LAS14 Thursday #48

ALL polls have noise, more or less, so yes, not necessarily bad. . . . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Thursday #50

Yes cally Thursday #56

Voters' intentions form a signal. "Noise" is an engineering term meaning anything corrupting a signal. Bernardo de La Paz Thursday #31

Thanks. nt LAS14 Thursday #49

It's all those manipulated, faked GOP polls Farmer-Rick Thursday #23

yeah, I've seen that. Very curious discrepancy. LymphocyteLover Thursday #42

Also interesting data on split ticket dweller Thursday #5

OMG! I didn't realize Kamala was losing in every swing states on RCP and most on 538. Doodley Thursday #7

It reflects a recent flood of Republican-leaning polls meant to influence the averages. SunSeeker Thursday #21

Yes!!! wolfie001 Thursday #34

Well, I guess that's one way to put your thumb on the scale. calimary Thursday #41

Real Clear Politics is itself a Republican leaning organization. lees1975 Thursday #37

Might be worth looking at Hopium Chronicles By Simon Rosenberg OnDoutside Thursday #52

This is one point I. Very uncertain of -- Robinson is simply soooo terrible that I'm willing to bet LauraInLA Thursday #8

Yes, NC doesn't make sense. In fact, very little of the polling data makes sense. A lot of people are saying Trump is LymphocyteLover Thursday #43

Very interesting GusBob Thursday #6

Are the Vantage number an average, or the results of the latest poll? LAS14 Thursday #9

I'm unclear on this, as well, but they claim they're getting data from 40k responses per state per year with an LauraInLA Thursday #11

Looks to be the latest numbers but MontanaFarmer Thursday #28

I hope they're right. Martin68 Thursday #12

My husband's take: LauraInLA Thursday #13

Apparently this org has arisen from an Entrepreneurial Accelerator Program. LauraInLA Thursday #14

It sounds to me like GusBob Thursday #17

Well, the orange fatso is an insane shitbag so...... wolfie001 Thursday #16

NC will be an interesting case study dsc Thursday #20

Are you telling me that talking about Arnold Palmer's penis is not a winning campaign strategy? Ray Bruns Thursday #22

It's "they're eating the dogs" Farmer-Rick Thursday #24

I guess he's wondering where the geese went - how about Florida. kerry-is-my-prez Thursday #53

No doubt. Trumpy is lurching from major mistake to major mistake. n/t PatrickforB Thursday #26

This is very good information! Thank you. n/t PatrickforB Thursday #25

Never heard of them but it's interesting jgmiller Thursday #27

If these guys have gamed the pollsters, they will be top dog going forward bucolic_frolic Thursday #29

I don't understand Figure 7 Orange Buffoon Thursday #32

I've been doing my own own averages. At least half of the polls are RW. kerry-is-my-prez Thursday #35

Look at their data collection. lees1975 Thursday #36

Hubby and I voted today Katcat Thursday #38

Thanks for this! shotten99 Thursday #39

I don't buy that Harris is behind in AZ. And I don't buy her taking FL. They didn't list WI...seems odd PortTack Thursday #40

Later on in the article Vantage House says Trump unlikely to lose FL crimycarny 12 hrs ago #59

Political polling company Warpy Thursday #44

How did WI get replaced with FL in their list of 7? BWdem4life Thursday #45

Kick Coexist Thursday #46

Noone? Lol.... getagrip_already Thursday #51

It shouldn't be that close in the first place Dem4life1234 Thursday #55

Florida +3.7% for Harris? RidinWithHarris 12 hrs ago #60