General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: It could be a landslide for Obama and Democrats [View all]RZM
(8,556 posts)An Obama victory? Absolutely. A landslide? I don't think the stage is set for that. Let's take it point by point.
1) Yes. That does help.
2) Ehh. Business as usual. Not game changing or landslide inducing.
3) Yoda rule here. Do or not do. There is no try.
4) Not qualified to analyze. But unemployment is high enough that it's going to be drag on him, no matter whose fault it is.
5) Yes, he will get a little bump from that.
6) Health care reform is kind of a wash. Got some good things done, but took a lot of flak too.
7) This may be a big help for Obama. Slashing benefits just doesn't play well.
8) They hear everyday from their side that he's spending like crazy. Whether or not that's true, keeping spending low won't be something Obama will campaign on.
9) This one is odd. Why would it that happen now? Are 'average workers' just going to magically awaken in 2012 and decide they are good Democrats? I don't think so.
10) People overestimate this every cycle. Clinton and Obama went at it for a long time and it didn't really hurt him at all. Once the nominee is chosen, the primaries will be largely forgotten. Thet other candidates will endorse the nominee wholeheartedly and campaign for him in the hopes of favors in the future.