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Triana

(22,666 posts) Mon Mar 24, 2014, 12:33 PM Mar 2014

Nate Silver Predicts GOP Senate Win in 2014 [View all]

Cue the hand-wringing in Democratic circles everywhere: Nate Silver says the GOP will probably re-take the Senate in November's elections.

After he ran the table in 2012, correctly predicting the electoral outcomes in every single state, Silver has become something of a modern-day oracle to political junkies.

On Sunday, Silver took to his new FiveThirtyEight website—and his new TV home on ABC—to deliver one of his breathlessly awaited prognostications.

Republicans need six seats to regain control of the Senate chamber. How many seats did Silver think the GOP would win? "Exactly six," he told ABC's Jonathan Karl.

THE REST:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/24/nate-silver-gop-senate_n_5020271.html

50 replies

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Nate Silver Predicts GOP Senate Win in 2014 [View all] Triana Mar 2014 OP

Now let him predict which seats. mikeysnot Mar 2014 #1

You don't know much about Nate Silver, do you? Gravitycollapse Mar 2014 #6

You assume too much. mikeysnot Mar 2014 #37

LoL. just cos the data doesn't fit our desire, doesnt mean he is wrong. nt La Lioness Priyanka Mar 2014 #40

Didn't say he was wrong now did I? mikeysnot Mar 2014 #44

here... bananas Mar 2014 #46

Wow, so clear-cut and pin-point accurate! mikeysnot Mar 2014 #47

I read that Demsrule86 Mar 2014 #48

I concur mikeysnot Mar 2014 #50

Told you so bigdarryl Mar 2014 #2

how could that possibly be? Whisp Mar 2014 #3

Vote! Demsrule86 Mar 2014 #49

Ok ...so don't bother to vote ...got it. L0oniX Mar 2014 #4

Your attitude is going to cost us the Senate and House Capt. Obvious Mar 2014 #13

Well the wife blames me for everything so I am used to it. L0oniX Mar 2014 #23

That's definitely not good. Silver is a great statistician. Gravitycollapse Mar 2014 #5

In politics his track record is too short to determine his consistency Bluenorthwest Mar 2014 #9

I guarantee you didn't make accurate predications for all the states... Gravitycollapse Mar 2014 #27

People on this board also keep failing to mention Capt. Obvious Mar 2014 #29

Some here will attack him simply because he predicts Dems will lose. Gravitycollapse Mar 2014 #30

It's insane Capt. Obvious Mar 2014 #33

nate is just trying to get his name back in the game early... mikeysnot Mar 2014 #45

This far out he certainly can be Rstrstx Mar 2014 #25

Wow, with the M$M this desperate this far out from the elections Rex Mar 2014 #7

Nate Is Not The MSM otohara Mar 2014 #11

What I don't understand is why so many Dems showed up to vote in 2006 Rex Mar 2014 #12

To Punish Dems? otohara Mar 2014 #15

But why? Why would a person punish their own party and themselves? Rex Mar 2014 #16

Unaffliated Voters otohara Mar 2014 #18

Yes I remember some people were angry at not getting an instant pony. Rex Mar 2014 #20

Howard Dean...nt joeybee12 Mar 2014 #39

"predicts" is a bit strong. he's only giving them a slight edge at this stage unblock Mar 2014 #8

Yeah...he doesn't really "predict"... Wounded Bear Mar 2014 #10

Probabilities generally only matter according to their predictive power. Gravitycollapse Mar 2014 #31

nice headline hfojvt Mar 2014 #14

I smell desperation this early. Rex Mar 2014 #17

my own fear hfojvt Mar 2014 #19

Yes, I think they've caught onto the fact that social engineering works Rex Mar 2014 #21

sometimes it works for Democrats though hfojvt Mar 2014 #24

What we need is a liberal version of the M$M. Rex Mar 2014 #26

Really bad headline. tritsofme Mar 2014 #22

I predict a lot of politicians begging for donations while promising to get the money out politics. Tierra_y_Libertad Mar 2014 #28

who cares? spanone Mar 2014 #32

love all the replies that don't seem to understand how statistics and Nate Silver's analysis works. cbdo2007 Mar 2014 #34

Most people have no idea how statistical analysis works. Gravitycollapse Mar 2014 #41

I've come up with an idea for them Capt. Obvious Mar 2014 #42

Don't you think it has something to do with the headline Johonny Mar 2014 #43

Obama is going to be vetoing every day. ErikJ Mar 2014 #35

A little early for that, in my opinion. NaturalHigh Mar 2014 #36

I love Nate but he is not perfect Gothmog Mar 2014 #38