General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Shit. Jeb beats Hillary in a match up of all voters [View all]Adrahil
(13,340 posts)The sample is white, by several percentage points, than the 2012 electorate. In every presidential election since the 70's, each successive presidential election has been LESS white, not more.
Also, the person you are responding to is correct. Party ID is WAY off from the actual electoral make-up in presidential years.
Could the poll be right on the match-ups? Yep. But it disgree with most other polls AND has a suspect sample... that's why we need to look at polls in the aggregate, an not in the ones and twos.
Remember when the Bernie supports were cheering that YouGov poll a couple weeks back? Many of us warned it looked like an outlier, and results since then confirm that is was. Never looks at a single poll, especially one with a suspect sample.