Those of you who know me know that I don't make shit up. [View all]

[PCIntern]

Today I had a very interesting patient who told me some very good news:

This guy is a sports statistician: people in professional sports pay him ungodly sums to figure out various propositions and whether they would benefit the team or not. The film Moneyball was based on some of the fundamental premises under which these guys work

But guess what he does in his "spare time"? He handicaps elections based upon aspects of polls which we, the public, never get to see, such as the sampling and the rationale for such sampling. He told me in no uncertain terms that any state in which Trump is leading by four points or fewer, he will lose and that the professionals in the business are expecting a win by Mrs. Clinton of at LEAST the proportion of the 2008 victory by President Obama if not greater.

Further, he agreed that the statement made by Chuck Todd was correct: that the polls which showed the race tightening utilized fallacious methodology. Gross undersampling of Democrats for example.

This is good news if true. I have no reason to doubt his professional judgement.