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Showing Original Post only (View all)Republicans are whistling past the graveyard [View all]
Look at these results:
MONTANA AT-LARGE DISTRICT
2002: GOP wins by 32 points
2004: GOP wins by 32 points
2006: GOP wins by 20 points
2008: GOP wins by 32 points
2010: GOP wins by 27 points
2012: GOP wins by 11 points
2014: GOP wins by 15 points
2016: GOP wins by 16 points
*** 2017 SPECIAL ELECTION: GOP wins by 6 points ***
The average GOP margin of victory in that district over the last 8 cycles has been 23 POINTS.
Dems cut that to 6 POINTS this year.
KANSAS 4TH DISTRICT
2002: GOP wins by 24 points
2004: GOP wins by 35 points
2006: GOP wins by 30 points
2008: GOP wins by 31 points
2010: GOP wins by 22 points
2012: GOP wins by 31 points
2014: GOP wins by 33 points
2016: GOP wins by 31 points
*** 2017 SPECIAL ELECTION: GOP wins by 7 points ***
The average GOP margin of victory in that district over the last 8 cycles has been 30 POINTS.
Dems cut that to 7 POINTS this year.
GEORGIA 6TH DISTRICT
2002: GOP wins by 60 points
2004: No Dem candidate
2006: GOP wins by 44 points
2008: GOP wins by 37 points
2010: No Dem candidate
2012: GOP wins by 30 points
2014: GOP wins by 32 points
2016: GOP wins by 23 pointss
*** 2017 SPECIAL ELECTION: GOP wins by 4 points ***
The average GOP margin of victory in that district over the last 8 cycles has been 38 POINTS.
Dems cut that to 4 POINTS this year.
These are deep red districts. Democrats are massively overperforming this year compared to historical trends. Republicans can put on a brave face but if these swings are repeated nationwide next year they are in big trouble IMO.
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