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General Discussion

ThoughtCriminal

(14,047 posts)

1. There's another problem will polling Trump voters

Reply to Samantha (Original post)

Mon Jul 17, 2017, 01:21 AM

Jul 2017

The number of people who will admit voting for him - even to anonymous pollsters - ma also be shrinking. That would tend to create the impression that his supporters are sticking with him no matter what.

There are ways to adjust for this, but I have not seen it really addressed when reporting on the polling.

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16 replies

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We keep hearing about Trump needing to hold his base -- but how big is his base? [View all] Samantha Jul 2017 OP

There's another problem will polling Trump voters ThoughtCriminal Jul 2017 #1

Thanks for posting on my thread -- I just have one question Samantha Jul 2017 #2

And his approval rating is dropping every day, the worse things get Rhiannon12866 Jul 2017 #3

But don't you think it is odd that even though that approval rating is just 36 percent Samantha Jul 2017 #6

I find it tough to believe that anyone approves of him with everything we hear every day Rhiannon12866 Jul 2017 #8

How Large is Bumshteyn's Base? Wolf Frankula Jul 2017 #4

Good answer, Wolf -- sterling, in fact Samantha Jul 2017 #7

Polls Don't Matter When They Can Rig The Results SoCalMusicLover Jul 2017 #5

Are you familiar with Mark Penn? Samantha Jul 2017 #9

What am I missing in this chart? I though Clinton was about 3M ahead of Trump in popular vote? RKP5637 Jul 2017 #10

The figures are old and not updated ismnotwasm Jul 2017 #12

Thanks!!! It does make an excellent point, untapped resources in the non-voters. n/t RKP5637 Jul 2017 #13

This big: OilemFirchen Jul 2017 #11

I hate to tell you, but the blue is his "base" too Cosmocat Jul 2017 #14

"...the fact that it apears a myriad of contenders could throw him onto the mat with ease..." JoeStuckInOH Jul 2017 #15

I think the important number is the 48 percent which did not vote for either Samantha Jul 2017 #16