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In reply to the discussion: Trump in trouble in Florida poll [View all]Mojo2
(332 posts)I have lived in Florida for many years, and I really don't see a DEM Presidential candidate beating Trump in 2020. It takes a once in a generation type of Dem Candidate to win Florida, such as Obama, the best president of my lifetime. The state has been trending towards becoming a solid Republican state for the last two decades, all the branches of power outside of AG Commissioner are controlled by the GOP. Your talking about a state that elected a crook (Rick Scott) not once, but three times! Its early in the nomination process, but as of yet, I don't see a DEM candidate that has the juice to carry Florida, maybe Biden, or Beto, but definitely not Sanders or Warren, they would fare about as well Clinton, carrying about 48% of the Florida vote. Plus, never underestimate the amount of thievery that the Florida GOP will be willing to conduct for Trump in order to get him the state. I hope that I am wrong, but I have seen these same type of poll numbers for Rick Scott in the past, and he has always ended up winning the election. I think the best bet is to take back all the Rust Belt (Mich, Wisc, Penn, and Iowa), I believe Ohio is probably too big of a hurdle due to southern part of Ohio pretty much becoming a sea of red.