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In reply to the discussion: 'We blew it': U.S. reaches 'explosive' COVID-19 spread as virus is nearly impossible to control [View all]mr_lebowski
(33,643 posts)Just because you're seeing a fatality rate of 2.2% by calculating total number infections as determined by testing/total number of deaths (since disease started) doesn't mean you know that's going to hold up when that number grows and time passes.
It could go up, it could go down.
There are many forces that could come into play over time. An advance in treatment techniques or drugs that makes it less likely infected patients die from it, for example. If the people most predisposed to die from contracting it have died in disproportionately large numbers at the beginning of the outbreak ... these sorts of things could make it go down over time.
Hospitals being overloaded could make it go up over time. I'm sure there are some others.
S'all I'm saying