Bernie Sanders best-case EV scenario: 112 Sanders - 423 any Republican [View all]

[jmowreader]

Bernie Sanders will motivate millions of people who've never voted before in their lives to register to vote AGAINST him. More importantly, his platform of tax after tax, government intrusion into the private sector and unattainable pipe dreams will flip a lot of heretofore solidly blue states. Washington comes to mind quickly: everything from the summit of Mount Rainier to the Idaho state line is redder than Alabama. Always remember Reagan won 49 states in 1984 after he raised taxes three times and got 241 Marines killed in Beirut.

So...my best-case scenario for a Sanders-Trump, Cruz, Carson or Rubio race is:

Sanders:
California: 55 ev
Hawaii: 4 ev
Illinois: 20 ev
Massachusetts: 11 ev
New York: 29 ev
Vermont: 3 ev
Total is 112. The Republican takes the rest.

Unfortunately, I don't think that'll happen: With the possible exception of Hawaii, which is very solidly Democratic, and Vermont, who's been sending Sanders to Congress for two decades, there's not a safe state in the fifty. There's a good chance Sanders could receive 62 ev (California, Hawaii and Vermont) and an outside chance he gets three (his home state).

The American Way of Life can't afford Bernie Sanders in the general election.