Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Science

(31,842 posts)

9. Currently the USGS gives a 7% chance of an 8.0 or larger in CA in next 30 years.

Sat Oct 10, 2015, 11:46 AM

Oct 2015

Estimates of the chance of a magnitude 8.0 or greater earthquake hitting California in the next three decades have been raised from about 4.7% to 7%, the U.S. Geological Survey said Tuesday (March 10, 2015).

http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-chance-of-80-earthquake-in-california-rises-usgs-says-20150310-story.html

And a link to The Third California Earthquake Rupture Forecast

http://www.wgcep.org/UCERF3

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

18 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Define "our" lifetime. n/t Wilms Oct 2015 #1

Well, lets say, within the next 40 years darkangel218 Oct 2015 #2

The math cannot render that level of precision rjsquirrel Oct 2015 #5

Very true darkangel218 Oct 2015 #8

Thank you ou for the links darkangel218 Oct 2015 #11

I'm 64. I lived in Southern California from 1965-88. mnhtnbb Oct 2015 #3

I agree with you. darkangel218 Oct 2015 #7

Cali IS a major earthquake! Scuba Oct 2015 #4

Hehehehehehe!! darkangel218 Oct 2015 #6

Where in California? SheilaT Oct 2015 #10

Anywhere/everywhere. darkangel218 Oct 2015 #12

See answer 9 above. SheilaT Oct 2015 #13

Somewhere in between "Very" and "Remotely" Yo_Mama Oct 2015 #14

Not much time left in my lifetime. Downwinder Oct 2015 #15

I live 15 miles from the San Andreas fault. LastLiberal in PalmSprings Oct 2015 #18