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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Nate Silver's 538: Hillary still favored to win Iowa and NH [View all]joshcryer
(62,287 posts)38. Polls plus is arbitrary nonsense.
That they are including two different metrics lets them really cover their ass if they blow it.
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Did you notice the trend in that top chart on the page you linked to for NH?
Motown_Johnny
Jan 2016
#47
Don't you think he is aware of that? He wouldn't risk his reputation for Hillary.eom
lunamagica
Jan 2016
#39
Yep! I think she will win both. They will share/split delegates but she will win.
leftofcool
Jan 2016
#2
Sanders TROUNCES Clinton w/Indies. IF Clinton gets the nom we lose the general.Period.
Indepatriot
Jan 2016
#6
Yes! We still have two more weeks till Iowa and 53/47 in N.H. Which is still even odds!!!..
Pauldg47
Jan 2016
#67
I'm not clinging. Hillary will win at least one of those states regardless of today's polls.
RandySF
Jan 2016
#9
New York State is only ~60 miles away from New Hampshire (at it's closest point)
Motown_Johnny
Jan 2016
#48
Thats based on current polling and not taking in account the trend toward Sanders
Quixote1818
Jan 2016
#18
You can look at elections 50 years back and if it is trending toward a candidate at the end
Quixote1818
Jan 2016
#20
Thanks for posting. But I don't know about NH and I think that even if she lost both it wouldn't be
Number23
Jan 2016
#24
By lying and trying to tell people he wants to destroy Obamacare and Medicare of course.
Kentonio
Jan 2016
#31
How else exactly do you suggest building the economy enough to start paying back that debt?
Kentonio
Jan 2016
#45
Despite the unemployment rate, America was recovering from the Great Depression years before WW2.
Kentonio
Jan 2016
#59
Then Bernie Sanders supporters should keep donating, volunteering, and spreading the word
Eric J in MN
Jan 2016
#27
That is basically the same model he has used to predict the last four elections.
DemocratSinceBirth
Jan 2016
#46