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DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » 2016 Postmortem (Forum) » Hot Off The Press Marist ... » Reply #56

Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #49)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 10:08 AM

56. They're in a statistical tie.

Does one side sleep better if they're 1 point a head of the other in a statistical tie? No way because of the margin of error. They might look to be up one and in fact are down three with a margin of error of +/- 4.

Nearly all of the polls I've seen have demographics that favor Clinton - in effect pad her numbers at the expense of Bernie. So the poll of polls today showing Clinton as +.2 is BS. Sanders is ahead probably about 2 pts when you consider the demographics.

And it also comes down to who comes out to vote. If they have a bad snowfall, I think it's harder on the seniors for example (not good news for Clinton).

This is a tight contest. Could go either way. One party being a smidgen ahead of the other in the polls isn't going to govern their actions. Doing something that can distance themselves from the other party is something they would consider.

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LineLineLineLineLineReply They're in a statistical tie.
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