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2016 Postmortem
Showing Original Post only (View all)Politico: Clinton will carry Iowa [View all]
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/insiders-trump-and-clinton-will-carry-iowa-218492Democratic insiders believe overwhelmingly that Clinton will win.
Democratic insiders werent nearly as divided as their GOP counterparts: They said by a wide margin that Clinton will defeat Bernie Sanders on Monday night, crediting what they say is her vastly superior organization.
Hands down, Clinton has the best operation, one Iowa Democrat said. It doesn't matter who I speak to whether it's in a big county or small, on the western side of the state or eastern they all say the same thing: They see no evidence of Sanders organizing. They have a lot of people, but none of them are trained or prepared for what will happen on Monday. The lesson they took from Obamas 2008 win was that big crowds equate [to] support in a caucus room. They seem to [forget] that Obama also had the best caucus campaign Iowa had seen up to that point. Unfortunately for them, Clinton has a stronger operation than even Obama did then, and her supporters are more committed than theirs.
...
But while Democrats overwhelmingly say Clinton will win, Republicans disagreed. A majority of GOP insiders insist Sanders energized supporters will carry him to victory.
My friends on the [Democratic] side tell me that Hillary will win due to organization, one Iowa Republican said, but it will be close and damaging.
Bernie's in tough. Go Bernie's team Go!
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I am an O'Malley supporter who is resigned to having to support Bernie after O'Malley drops out
askew
Feb 2016
#6
Sanders hasn't gotten as much media as Hillary that is for sure, but at least he got some which
askew
Feb 2016
#13
The moderators also shut MOM out during the debates. They wanted a 2-person head-to-head,
tblue37
Feb 2016
#27
Yeah, that killed him. They wouldn't let him talk at all and were openly mocking him.
askew
Feb 2016
#29
LOL, we are in the same boat, Martin didn't get a chance from the get go (media wise)
snooper2
Feb 2016
#19
Yeah, Dems need young voters to turn out in 2016 and I don't see that happening with
askew
Feb 2016
#23
Well, we agree on that. I support O'Malley and don't look forward to choosing
KittyWampus
Feb 2016
#25
Politico leans right; head to head polls show Bernie does better in the GE, so rethugs want HC nt
amborin
Feb 2016
#4
Did Politico or any pundits mentioned foresee the massive turnouts for Bernie's speeches?
snagglepuss
Feb 2016
#5
..."they all say the same thing: They see no evidence of Sanders organizing"
workinclasszero
Feb 2016
#9
Democratic insiders...well, I guess that settles it. I'll just wait for tonight/tomorrow for the
libdem4life
Feb 2016
#30