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2016 Postmortem

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rufus dog

(8,419 posts)
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 01:54 AM Feb 2016

I am looking at the history of Democratic Primary results in New Hampshire [View all]

Yes Hillary beat Obama by 3 and a half points in 2008. Before that you have Kerry, Gore, Tsongas beating Bill by under 10, Dukakis, Hart beating Mondale by 10, Carter, Muskie over McGovern by 7.

So in approximately 50 years they picked the eventual nominee, or the nominee was second and at most ten points back.

Now Hillary did get second, but was over twenty points back. Unfortunately the field was basically cleared out this year due to many being afraid to take on Clinton so it is hard to compare a typical candidate heavy field to a two person race.

But, IMO, this result demonstrates a warning for the party and Clinton. As many have said for the past year, her support might be much more shallow than many want to believe.

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