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cloudythescribbler

(2,586 posts)
1. let's see what the results are in NV and SC, then evaluate
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 02:07 AM
Feb 2016

I strongly support Bernie Sanders' candidacy, and hope he runs really strongly -- helped by several (so far) modest donations from me.

But as for realism, I don't know the history of the NV and SC contests or how long they have been so prominent prior to Super Tuesday. But I was worried back in 08 when I supported Obama (who I hoped would at least straddle the difference between the progressive and neo-liberal wings of the Democratic Party, instead of being solidly in the neo-liberal camp, if noticeably more progressive a president than Bill Clinton, tho both were firmly w/in the neoliberal tent); there is a VERY steep climb built into the Democratic primary schedule after NH. And on Super Tuesday, Bernie Sanders will be hard-pressed to be seriously competitive in more than about half the states. My guesstimate is that if he can keep Hillary Clinton's victory margins under 10% (in single digits) in both NV and in SC, he'll be doing pretty well. You can try to measure that projection against the historical track record looking only at NH.

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