Did 538 predict Hillary would lose Colorado or Oklahoma or Minnesota or Nebraska or Kansas or Maine? [View all]
Just asking about these 538 forecast models I keep hearing so much about.
Did 538 predict Trump would lose Alaska or Iowa or Kansas or Maine or Oklahoma?
How many forecasts is 538 allowed to get wrong in a 100-day period before people stop referring to 538 as "unerringly accurate"?
Does 538 deserve credit when they predict a race correctly but blow the margin of victory by a mile?
How many times can 538 make predictions that favor Clinton and yet remain silent in races that favor Sanders before it looks like a pattern?
I like 538 more than almost anyone (I read it Monday through Friday and on weekend days with debates or elections), but this idea that 538's "stunningly inaccurate 2016 forecasts" can take the place of real votes has got to stop.
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