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2016 Postmortem

Helen Borg

(3,963 posts)

21. Nate Silver had put her at >99% change of winning!

Reply to Uncle Joe (Original post)

Wed Mar 9, 2016, 07:09 AM

Mar 2016

Last edited Wed Mar 9, 2016, 08:50 AM - Edit history (3)

Let's see how the media spins this now!

Here is what Nate has to say. Taking it with a grain of salt at this point.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-the-stunning-bernie-sanders-win-in-michigan-means/

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34 replies

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Highlight:

What The Stunning Bernie Sanders Win In Michigan Means [View all] Uncle Joe Mar 2016 OP

All I've got to say is "Go Bernie Go!" highprincipleswork Mar 2016 #1

Yeah, I saw this. It's great! "stack of humble pie" indeed. (nt) pat_k Mar 2016 #2

With a side of crow n/t sarge43 Mar 2016 #20

Well Kall Mar 2016 #3

K&R And a hearty thank you to Michigan! nt Live and Learn Mar 2016 #4

Or in other words, you cannot poll your way to success, you have to earn it nolabels Mar 2016 #5

I agree, nolabels, Bernie had faith in the people and Uncle Joe Mar 2016 #6

F U Nate Yuugal Mar 2016 #7

He was around in 2008 CorkySt.Clair Mar 2016 #23

Oligarchs and Wall Street banksters are a conspiracy theory? Enthusiast Mar 2016 #31

I don't blame Nate... statistics are statistics and he knows how to calculate them, but renate Mar 2016 #8

Wait. Yuugal Mar 2016 #19

Nate has been "weighting" his calculations this year, essentially putting his finger on the scale. reformist2 Mar 2016 #30

K&R quantumjunkie Mar 2016 #9

A case of pugetres Mar 2016 #10

There are so many intangibles that numbers simply can't or don't capture and I believe Uncle Joe Mar 2016 #12

Yeah, I think the polls are way off for a couple of reasons. Peace Patriot Mar 2016 #11

Plus they have been highly motivated PATRICK Mar 2016 #13

Pollsters can get any result they want. delrem Mar 2016 #16

HUGE K & R !!! - Thank You !!! WillyT Mar 2016 #14

Either Nate got played, or he's a player. delrem Mar 2016 #15

He's a player. Enthusiast Mar 2016 #28

Sarah Silverman said it outloud "Bernie can't be bought" -- the kind of man we want as President! Major Hogwash Mar 2016 #17

Boo-Yah billhicks76 Mar 2016 #18

Nate Silver had put her at >99% change of winning! Helen Borg Mar 2016 #21

Who is Nat Silver? HERVEPA Mar 2016 #32

Wasn't Hillary supposed to be the presumptive nominee? Deadshot Mar 2016 #22

Don't quit your day job, Nate. bvf Mar 2016 #24

I think Sanders' win in Michigan showed that voters didn't forget NAFTA and the WTO bulloney Mar 2016 #25

Open primaries are really the key. Over 15K changed party requests in MI Jitter65 Mar 2016 #26

If the data doesn't include what is already off the conventional radar it is impossible to see it. Ford_Prefect Mar 2016 #27

LIAR! You didn't eat humble pie because Bernie made you. You ate it because you attempted to merrily Mar 2016 #29

Nate has so much egg on his face that he asked someone else to eat his humble pie for him. Betty Karlson Mar 2016 #33

Now they have decided that Bernie probably won because of the Democrats who crossed over to Trump jopacaco Mar 2016 #34