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2016 Postmortem
Showing Original Post only (View all)HRC Campaign Manager "Mook warns of defeat in Ohio, Illinois, Mo., 'outspent, outraised' by Sanders" [View all]
link; excerpt:Hillary Clinton's campaign manager, citing Sen. Bernie Sanders' surprise victory in Michigan this week after outspending the Democratic front-runner, is warning supporters that it could happen again Tuesday in Ohio, Missouri and Illinois.
"Bernie outraised us by $12 million in February, then outspent us on TV in Michigan," which the Vermont senator won, Robby Mook emailed supporters.... Mook has reason to be concerned. A new scientific prediction of the race, produced by the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, shows Clinton losing Illinois and Ohio by a hair. A Sanders win would be huge news and give him more momentum, though it would remain difficult for him to catch Clinton in delegates.
"Based on the race and region model, we can predict that Hillary Clinton will win three states and Bernie Sanders will win two states on March 15. Clinton is predicted to receive between 65 percent and 67 percent of the vote in North Carolina, between 64 percent and 66 percent of the vote in Florida, between 52 percent and 54 percent of the vote in Illinois, between 46 percent and 48 percent of the vote in Ohio and between 45 percent and 47 percent of the vote in Missouri," said the report from Alan I. Abramowitz, a senior columnist with the Center's Larry Sabato Crystal Ball.
I'm sure that this is Robby Mook playing the expectations game, but it is an interestingly candid acknowledgement.
Here's a link to the University of Virginia Center for Politics analysis showing Illinois, Ohio, and Missouri close but with Sanders slightly ahead!
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HRC Campaign Manager "Mook warns of defeat in Ohio, Illinois, Mo., 'outspent, outraised' by Sanders" [View all]
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
OP
The primary calendar doesn't go "full Bernie" until March 21 when Hillary begins a 0 for 9 stretch
Vote2016
Mar 2016
#2
Clearly, you are not from TX or have been there. TX is TX. It is not the south or the west.
AgadorSparticus
Mar 2016
#59
Other than Arizona (which looks close) I see Hillary losing like dominoes falling
Vote2016
Mar 2016
#40
The question is not how many delegates Sanders wins in those 8 states; the question is how many
Vote2016
Mar 2016
#57
Exactly, everyone knows Hillary tells one audience one thing and another audience something else
Fumesucker
Mar 2016
#12
They are just trying to control expectations. Hillary is favored in all these states by big margins.
Cheese Sandwich
Mar 2016
#11
And get Maddi's dollar... to make it look like she has more small donors... nt
revbones
Mar 2016
#33