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2016 Postmortem
Showing Original Post only (View all)5 Primaries: Exit Poll Discrepancies and Win Probabilities [View all]
"This is a summary exit poll analysis of the March 15 Democratic exit polls. Clinton won the recorded vote in the five elections.
The exit polls indicate that Sanders won MO (80% probability) and IL (74%).
There was a 10% discrepancy in the OH exit poll from the recorded vote. The probability that the discrepancy was due to chance is 1 in 976."
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2016/03/16/five-democratic-primaries-exit-poll-discrepancies-and-win-probabilities/
here's some levity. . .
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My candidate? You actually came out as a Hillary supporter and I missed it? Crap!
merrily
Mar 2016
#56
of course not, I don't hate Hillary enough and am not a narcissistic purist
geek tragedy
Mar 2016
#60
let us just say that it is very little surprise to see the people who have hated Obama
geek tragedy
Mar 2016
#68
Still flailing! Your posts are full of the hate word, but devoid of anything that applies to me.
merrily
Mar 2016
#69
If the shoe was on the other foot I can almost garantee you MaggieD would be having
bkkyosemite
Mar 2016
#10
Paper Ballots that are counted with all sides attending...this election is rigged and I am
bkkyosemite
Mar 2016
#8
Oh good, I was wondering when this embarrassment as an analyst would show up again
Godhumor
Mar 2016
#9
Throw in the fact the author being cited was permanently banned for being a disruptor./nt
DemocratSinceBirth
Mar 2016
#42
I also imagine that not every voter completes the exit poll as well. I mean, is it required?
CalvinballPro
Mar 2016
#21
I suspect that the results were close to the Sanders internals or the campaign would
Lucinda
Mar 2016
#19
Clue? it was Bill, in the school yard, with the bullhorn. he did it all himself nt
msongs
Mar 2016
#28
It's just pathetic that we live in a country where you can't either trust or verify the vote!!!!!!
highprincipleswork
Mar 2016
#29
lol! He's still at it with this nonsense! I am 99.9869465% sure this guy is nuts.
tritsofme
Mar 2016
#32