2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Do the state of the polls (in general) seem just surreal to anyone else? [View all]quaker bill
(8,225 posts)but near impossible if the money had shifted down ticket. I am pretty sure we will go +2 in FL, and we may go +3 or 4. They are not as well tied to the national race as usual.
The deal as I see it is that the Rs had already spent +/- 400 million on negative ads against President Obama, and were still behind. It is not moving the polls. The President had little to lose by baiting them to spend more and I am pretty sure his folks know this better than I. His team is really smart when it comes to the numbers. They absolutely knew a large pile of money was coming at them, might they have picked to lead it to the place where it would do the least damage? Perhaps so. It would be in character for this organization, look at what they did in 2008.
We will see.