2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: A question for those who think Trump will defy the consensus and win in November. [View all]EL34x4
(2,003 posts)Voted for Romney in 2012, Romney would've won.
Anyhow, it's a moot point. People are still trying to apply the old rules, old demographics and alliances to this election.
This election will be nothing like I've ever seen in my 47 years. On one hand, you have Hillary Clinton, perhaps the most polarizing figure in modern politics. Think Republican voters didn't like Obama? Nothing compares to the white hot loathing they hold for Hillary. On the other hand, you have Trump, a political novice running a populist, nationalist campaign that largely ignores the social issues of God, gays, guns and abortion (issues Republicans used to lock up the evangelical south and ensured the liberal coastal areas remained solidly blue).
Nobody knows where we are going here but one thing we do know is that the rules of past elections do not apply.