2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Was the AP announcement pre-planned and coordinated with the Clinton campaign? [View all]senz
(11,945 posts)To win the 2016 Democratic primary, a candidate must have 2,383 delegates.
As of June 6th, yesterday, Hillary had 1,812 pledged delegates and Bernie has 1,526 pledged delegates. That's a difference of 286 delegates.
To reach 2,383 before the convention, Hillary would need 571 more pledged delegates and Bernie would need 857 more pledged delegates.
The states that vote today and the number of pledged delegates available from each:
CA -- 475
MT -- 21
NJ -- 126
NM -- 34
ND -- 18
SD -- 20
D.C. has 20 delegates and votes on June 14.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/
It is virtually impossible for either candidate to reach 2,383 pledged delegates from the remaining states. Since the pledged delegates alone don't confer 2,383, the superdelegate votes at the convention will make up the difference and decide the nomination.
The AP announced last night that Hillary had "won," even though she hadn't. They made this announcement before the seven remaining primaries had been held. It will depress voter turnout and is an an act of sabotage.