What are the odds that the outcome will change? (Reply #47)

In the discussion thread: California’s lengthy vote count stokes theories that Sanders actually won the primary [View all]

Response to J_J_ (Original post)

Thu Jun 23, 2016, 11:50 AM

LiberalFighter (45,578 posts)

47. What are the odds that the outcome will change?

Even though the outcome won't change the votes still need to be counted.

Election Results on June 12
Clinton : 2,128,194
Sanders: 1,653,416
Others : 36,103
--Total : 3,817,713

Election Results on June 23
Clinton : 2,582,052 (+ 453,858)
Sanders: 2,137,532 (+ 484,116)
Others: 43,045
--Total: 4,762,629 (Increased 944,916)

Unprocessed ballots as of June 13
1,506,952 -- Mail
717,862 -- Provisional
78,825 -- Other
2,303,639 -- Totals

Unprocessed ballots as of June 22
176,546 -- Mail
474,233 -- Provisional
29,699 -- Other
680,478 -- Totals

Total processed since June 13
1,330,406 -- Mail
243,629 -- Provisional
49,126 -- Other
1,623,161 -- Totals (678,245 not included in Democratic count)

June 12
1,741,297 -- Republican
[font color="white"]x,x[/font]32,399 -- American Independent
[font color="white"]x,x[/font]10,943 -- Green
[font color="white"]x,x[/font]22,971 -- Libertarian
[font color="white"]x,xx[/font]3,847 -- Peace and Freedom
1,811,457 -- Totals not including Dems

June 22
2,119,442 -- Republican
[font color="white"]x,x[/font]38,916 -- American Independent
[font color="white"]x,x[/font]13,607 -- Green
[font color="white"]x,x[/font]28,709 -- Libertarian
[font color="white"]x,xx[/font]4,669 -- Peace and Freedom
2,205,343 -- Totals not including Dems

393,886 -- Votes since June 12 not including Dems

284,359 -- Not included Numbers are totals of all 58 counties.

Ratio of the 1,623,161 processed votes
58.2% -- Democratic ballots
23.3% -- Republican ballots
00.9% -- Third Party ballots
17.5% -- Not included

60% of the remaining 680,478 unprocessed ballots is 408,286.
Rough split of remaining votes without knowing who benefits county by county.
Clinton: 329,351 -- Sanders: 351,127

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Replies to this discussion thread

61 replies	Author	Time	Post
California’s lengthy vote count stokes theories that Sanders actually won the primary [View all]	J_J_	Jun 2016	OP
Just let it go..	Peacetrain	Jun 2016	#1
Uh..er nope .. l	laserhaas	Jun 2016	#3
Zzzz it always takes a long time to count the votes in California	anigbrowl	Jun 2016	#19
I just dont understan calling for vote gsmes	laserhaas	Jun 2016	#22
The integrity of our voting system is more than worth a look into how it is performing, whether or	Dustlawyer	Jun 2016	#33
Hillary's 9% ahead in California, and continued	Hortensis	Jun 2016	#53
It says we count votes and we	MyNameGoesHere	Jun 2016	#36
The Washington Post thought it interesting enough to write a story about this	J_J_	Jun 2016	#4
"Theories" and that's about it.	Agschmid	Jun 2016	#2
Let us know how it turns out.	JaneyVee	Jun 2016	#5
Sane Sanders supporters know he simply lost	alcibiades_mystery	Jun 2016	#6
Yeah..keep telling yourself that bull	laserhaas	Jun 2016	#23
I'm glad this is being mentioned and they are counting the actual votes	Fast Walker 52	Jun 2016	#7
:-P	NurseJackie	Jun 2016	#8
"Sanders had 75 percent of the estimated 20 percent of voters who were disenfranchised"	TwilightZone	Jun 2016	#9
If gibberish is put in the form of statisitcs it will seem more credible to some.	Lord Magus	Jun 2016	#18
Count all the votes. Hillary still won and by a landslide.	NYC Liberal	Jun 2016	#10
...	lamp_shade	Jun 2016	#11
PERFECT! Thread winner! nt	COLGATE4	Jun 2016	#28
+1	JoePhilly	Jun 2016	#50
Here is the official website. It is like watching paint dry.	DemocratSinceBirth	Jun 2016	#12
And Hillary's lead in popular	BlueMTexpat	Jun 2016	#37
Math still isn't some folks strong suit	onenote	Jun 2016	#13
Ancient Alien Theorists think Bernie won CA!!!	JoePhilly	Jun 2016	#14
If you believe Sanders won, clap your hands!	Downtown Hound	Jun 2016	#15
Post removed	Post removed	Jun 2016	#24
This message was self-deleted by its author	rjsquirrel	Jun 2016	#29
No....that's your definition	laserhaas	Jun 2016	#32
This message was self-deleted by its author	rjsquirrel	Jun 2016	#35
Um, just so you know, I'm a Californian who voted for Bernie	Downtown Hound	Jun 2016	#44
Whats your choice got anything to do with our right to know_	laserhaas	Jun 2016	#57
Who is denying you the right to know?	Downtown Hound	Jun 2016	#60
The law gives the counties a month to count the ballots	BainsBane	Jun 2016	#16
Actually...The night before..when AP said it's done	laserhaas	Jun 2016	#25
If mistake = understated the margin of Hillary's victory by a few thousand votes, sure. nt	stevenleser	Jun 2016	#34
This is getting tiresome in my opinion	cosmicone	Jun 2016	#17
Trying to undermine the legitimacy of the Democratic nominee is a Republican tactic.	baldguy	Jun 2016	#20
+1 n/t	FSogol	Jun 2016	#46
+1	JoePhilly	Jun 2016	#51
+ 1000	BlueCaliDem	Jun 2016	#56
I'm not optimistic that it will change the results	democrattotheend	Jun 2016	#21
Good for you	laserhaas	Jun 2016	#26
This message was self-deleted by its author	rjsquirrel	Jun 2016	#27
seems legit !	stonecutter357	Jun 2016	#30
I guess at this point, I don't really care.	liberal N proud	Jun 2016	#31
As of this morning (6/26/16)	LongtimeAZDem	Jun 2016	#38
I know. Declaring "Victory" for a completely meaningless gesture.	randome	Jun 2016	#39
Unless Sanders won something like 75 to 25, it wouldn't matter regardless.	thesquanderer	Jun 2016	#40
"Few Sanders supporters endorse that theory..."	Spazito	Jun 2016	#41
Umm... Sanders has been slightly losing the vote since the election was called.	Adrahil	Jun 2016	#42
Don't understand the reasoning here, Clinton is gaining votes on Sanders	yellowcanine	Jun 2016	#43
"Don't keep fighting the last Democratic presidential primary"	Tarc	Jun 2016	#45
What are the odds that the outcome will change?	LiberalFighter	Jun 2016	#47
It already has changed the outcome	Tom Rinaldo	Jun 2016	#48
Post removed	Post removed	Jun 2016	#49
This is the second OP you have done implying that California does not count provisional ballots	still_one	Jun 2016	#52
+1000 n/t	zappaman	Jun 2016	#54
Theories about who won aren't useful when the ballots haven't all been counted.	Orsino	Jun 2016	#55
You're right about a state primary victory for California	LongtimeAZDem	Jun 2016	#58
No victory is officially declared until the votes are counted and certified	onenote	Jun 2016	#59
441,355 vote lead for Clinton now	Dem2	Jun 2016	#61

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