Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
2016 Postmortem
Showing Original Post only (View all)Nate Silver moved Florida (and North Carolina) to Trump... [View all]
Last edited Tue Nov 1, 2016, 04:56 PM - Edit history (4)
in the now cast and polls plus. Polls only remains blue. Remember folks the only poll that matters is the election day poll. Also Why does 538 polls change so fast?
Update: Polls only has also now turned red.
Update2: Polls only has now turned bad to blue! Why is it changing so much?
Update3: NC goes red in polls-plus forecast.
InfoView thread info, including edit history
TrashPut this thread in your Trash Can (My DU » Trash Can)
BookmarkAdd this thread to your Bookmarks (My DU » Bookmarks)
111 replies, 10478 views
ShareGet links to this post and/or share on social media
AlertAlert this post for a rule violation
PowersThere are no powers you can use on this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
ReplyReply to this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
Rec (1)
ReplyReply to this post
99 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Are you sure? Why is Nate so spooked then? It seems to me like FL will be blue too
AgadorSparticus
Nov 2016
#107
that's his model, not him. He programmed the model and those are the numbers
geek tragedy
Nov 2016
#3
that's the problem, they're not doing very well at GOTV in Florida, especially
geek tragedy
Nov 2016
#7
That's what I did last election. Ended up not trusting the process, so voted in person.
Native
Nov 2016
#61
Great, link to your history of past elections, would love to see your blog! N/t
ScienceIsGood
Nov 2016
#45
Nate Silver has a website competing for traffic in the waning days of the election.
BobbyDrake
Nov 2016
#9
He's not including data from the outlier polls with the crap methodology is he?
AgadorSparticus
Nov 2016
#108
iirc, Republicans usually *lead* in FL early voting, and not by a small margin
0rganism
Nov 2016
#81
yeah, just saw that FL is in the light red column for all three predictors
Farmgirl1961
Nov 2016
#47
I had heard that as well...but heard that it might be due to limited polling locations
Farmgirl1961
Nov 2016
#51
I want to ask a serious question with seemingly coming across as being overly "concerned" or a troll
Farmgirl1961
Nov 2016
#53
Just donated. How about a thread with links to Senate races we need to contribute to.
chimpymustgo
Nov 2016
#90
It has been said three days before the election people should ignore polling results
nolabels
Nov 2016
#73
It's moved from very pale blue to very pale pink. The 0 point isn't actually that significant.
Donald Ian Rankin
Nov 2016
#84