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onenote

(42,701 posts)
1. As much as I wish we could prevent him from becoming President, we can't
Tue Dec 6, 2016, 05:40 PM
Dec 2016

There is simply no realistic path to Trump not becoming president. First, while a handful of electors may choose not to cast their votes for him, the likelihood that a sufficient number will do so to deny him a majority is highly unlikely. Second, even if enough electors refused to cast their votes for him, it is even less likely that they'd cast their votes for Clinton -- they'll cast their votes for someone else -- probably Pence or Romney. Third, if there is a rebellion where no one has a majority, the election goes to Congress, where the choice is limited to one of the top three recipients of electoral votes. Under the scenario described, that would probably be Trump, Clinton and Pence (or Romney) in that order. If the third highest electoral vote went to Pence, he will unquestionably urge Congress to select Trump. And they will honor that decision rather than put their own political futures at risk. If Romney was the third highest vote getter, it would be more interesting, but in the end, I don't see the republican members throwing over Trump for Romney.

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