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2016 Postmortem

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Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)
Sun May 13, 2012, 09:39 PM May 2012

Is Texas winnable? RCP Average puts Romney +7 in Texas [View all]

Karl Rove's prediction does the same thing. RCP has Texas solid Romney (because they are not averaging the polls), while Rove has Texas leaning Romney, because he did. Either way, Texas is supposed to be the GOP's California (where Obama leads by 23%) and Romney is only ahead by 7 points. When is the Obama campaign gonna move in there?

Given the fact that 37% of the population in Texas is Hispanic, and the GOP has effectively forfeited the Hispanic vote with their immigration policy, there is a good chance the state could be winnable this year... Or at least give Romney and the Super PACs a run for their money by forcing them to spend a ton of money defending it.

Is Texas winnable?

ON EDIT: I would like to also point out that 7% is only 1% separated from Obama's lead in Ohio (6%), which the media has declared up for grabs. If 6% is a "toss up" and 7% is "solid," then something is very, very strange.


15 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
Yes
1 (7%)
No
10 (67%)
Maybe
4 (27%)
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
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If Obama can hold his loss in Texas to about 10% then I say go after it in 2016 bluestateguy May 2012 #1
Last time Texas voted the majority for a Democratic nominee was Carter. Just saying... eom Purveyor May 2012 #2
And prior to '08, the last time Virginia went Democratic was '64. Drunken Irishman May 2012 #3
Prior to 08, that was the case for North Carolina too. Tiggeroshii May 2012 #4
Texas is in districts to favor the repubs by thugs like Tom Delay Thinkingabout May 2012 #5
Campaigning in Texas would increase the chances of overcoming the odds in much of those districts. Tiggeroshii May 2012 #7
I think Texas is winnable -- but we need to teach Texans how to run a grassroots activist political struggle4progress May 2012 #6
Arguably, the Obama campaign is the most grassroots campaign we've ever had. Getting Texans fired up Tiggeroshii May 2012 #10
It's a great campaign -- the only problem being that Texas, as I recall it, struggle4progress May 2012 #16
Heck - even if Obama can make Romney play defense in TX it is a win! jimlup May 2012 #8
+1 JoePhilly May 2012 #22
This is Texas, Obama has no shot!! center rising May 2012 #9
Obama has no chance in Texas. After the massive 2010 defeats & redistricting we will be lucky MrTriumph May 2012 #12
Bell County Texas.... GTurck May 2012 #18
I'm planning to spread the rumor that a Romney victory means beer is banned. Otherwise dimbear May 2012 #11
That's not too unlikely, he is against drinking after all. Tiggeroshii May 2012 #13
"Why hasn't Romney said he won't ban beer? What is this Mormon hiding?" JoePhilly May 2012 #23
Add that after the election, he'll make everyone speak French. Rozlee May 2012 #27
How is the state Democratic party in TX? fujiyama May 2012 #14
The Texas Democratic Party barely exists NoPasaran May 2012 #19
Ten years from now, maybe. AlinPA May 2012 #15
Over 3.5 MILLION Texans voted for Obama in 2008. So ... Tx4obama May 2012 #17
Or if we have a large enough GOTV operation, we will win! Tiggeroshii May 2012 #20
Long shot but here' how. Seven points each bringing in one percent grantcart May 2012 #21
Not this year, but eventually with changing demographics Texas will be winnable. WI_DEM May 2012 #24
it's a long shot Anarcho-Socialist May 2012 #25
waste of money hrmjustin May 2012 #26
Texas Robbins May 2012 #28
Not a chance. FBaggins May 2012 #29
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