Clinton Will Build Her Biggest Lead on March 15. Sanders Will Erode It After That.

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30. He may erode it some, but he won't overcome it. One needs to be realistic.

Hillary Clinton will have at least a 320 delegate lead over Bernie Sanders after tonight. Maybe even as high as 340.

There are 28 contests remaining (including Puerto Rico and D.C.) with about 2700 delegates remaining.

Let us say there is an average of 100 delegates per contest to be generous. There are actually less on average per state, but let's be as friendly to Senator Sanders as possible.

If Bernie was to win EVERY one of the 28 contests by a 55 to 45 margin, he would gain only about 280 delegates more than Hillary Clinton. That's 28 contests by an average of 10 points, and delegates, each. Not enough to overtake her. He would still fall at least 40 delegates short. It gets worse if one factors in the superdelegates, but we won't use them for now.

It is virtually impossible that he will win all 28. No one can sanely believe he will suddenly win 28 contests in a row.

More realistically, he may win 18 out of the remaining 28. Even then that's a stretch, but let's say it happens.

He would have to win those by at least 20 points, and Hillary win the other 10 by only a few points, to even come close to tying.

This scenario is extremely remote to the point of being near impossible. It has less than a 1 in a million chance of happening.

There are no more New Hampshires or Vermonts in the 28 contests where he will win by 20+ points.

It is difficult to see any state where in the more realistic scenario, that Senator Sanders will win by 20+ points.

If they split the remaining contests, 14 each, then we get to the point where Sanders' margins of victory will have to be 25 points or more in every contest he wins. That's even more improbable than winning 18 states by 20+ points.

Then you factor in the superdelegates. They will clearly side heavily with the frontrunner, like they did in 2008.

Now, one can say that the superdelegates can't deny the will of the people in the Democratic convention, but the will of the people is clearly with Secretary Clinton. She currently has almost 2 million more popular votes than Senator Sanders.