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Democratic Primaries

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Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
Mon May 13, 2019, 08:43 AM May 2019

A huge South Carolina poll: Biden at 46% [View all]

Wow. Biden is at an eye popping 46% in South Carolina in a new May poll. I don't recall ever seeing a primary where the front runner was this strong this early. South Carolina is important.

The next one behind him is Sanders, at 15%.

https://www.axios.com/joe-biden-south-carolina-2020-democratic-primary-18532704-8930-4b16-bffd-51d19466771f.html

Why it matters: Biden has developed deep ties to the early voting state throughout his political career, having spent more days in South Carolina "visiting, vacationing or politicking than the rest of the crowded field, combined," according to the Post and Courier. His appeal with black voters will play an especially important role in next February's primary vote.


Is he a cinch for the nomination? Or is it that he only has one way to go...down? Is he this far ahead in a key state because there are just too many candidates, so the unknowns can't get air time or capture the attention of the public?

I'm sure he's going to get some big donations rolling in, over this poll. S Carolina is a key state for Democrats, with a high Af. American demographic.

In the meantime, Beto has announced a re-introduction and revamping of his entrance to the race. That sounds bad.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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How humiliating. This is very bad news... for Bernie. NurseJackie May 2019 #1
If that is the argument for dropping out then everyone but Biden should drop out. former9thward May 2019 #4
Not necessarily. NurseJackie May 2019 #10
Possibility of choice for VP is not the only reason to stay in the race. thesquanderer May 2019 #46
And for book deals, a more impressive CV to get higher speaking fees... I know. NurseJackie May 2019 #47
The person I favor DownriverDem May 2019 #22
Not at all. Most of the others will be vying for VP spot. Bernie will never be Biden's VP choice. honest.abe May 2019 #29
But BS has Nina Turner LibFarmer May 2019 #6
Honestly, I think Nina Turner drags him down. She's a reminder of the past... NurseJackie May 2019 #15
I believe that they are not that much into BS... Skya Rhen May 2019 #8
LOL zackymilly May 2019 #36
Biden is going to win SC. The competition will be for second place. thesquanderer May 2019 #12
He has to get 15% first nt NYMinute May 2019 #17
True. So if it were today, Biden and Sanders are the only ones... thesquanderer May 2019 #21
Only care DownriverDem May 2019 #23
In some states, Biden may be the second place guy. (n/t) thesquanderer May 2019 #28
This message was self-deleted by its author aikoaiko May 2019 #32
Regardless what the polls say, we need a candidate who can win some red states, and there are some still_one May 2019 #2
There's a FL poll from a couple of days ago. Biden 39%. Sanders 16%. Honeycombe8 May 2019 #3
Thanks. Of course anything can happen, and it is still quite early, but I still hold by my original still_one May 2019 #5
We may need either OH or FL, just to keep the Repub from winning it. Honeycombe8 May 2019 #31
I agree still_one May 2019 #37
We don't need red states, we need MI/WI/PA (or OH/FL) n/t thesquanderer May 2019 #7
I would consider Florida, Ohio, and Wisconsin red states today. I guess we could debate red and still_one May 2019 #9
Come on DownriverDem May 2019 #24
Michigan is not a red state. Not all flyovers are red. I don't see your point. (n/t) thesquanderer May 2019 #27
Biden is ready to kick Trump's ass! IluvPitties May 2019 #11
The reason is simple. Very, very many voters have one singular goal: MineralMan May 2019 #13
I would agree with most of that. Honeycombe8 May 2019 #33
The numbers, only 5% undecided: George II May 2019 #14
Question for everyone patphil May 2019 #16
That argument would hold water NYMinute May 2019 #18
I see simply analysis and speculative discussion... no one is getting worked up. LanternWaste May 2019 #25
We won't DownriverDem May 2019 #26
It's not just that he's ahead. It's the size of his lead that's important. Historical, even? Honeycombe8 May 2019 #34
Great angrychair May 2019 #19
But it greatly increases his chance to be the Democratic nominee for the General... Skya Rhen May 2019 #20
You make a good point. But he's leading in the other states, too. Honeycombe8 May 2019 #35
In this case Its familiarity angrychair May 2019 #40
No, he is definitely not center right on issues. He has a liberal score on environmental issues. Honeycombe8 May 2019 #41
It's the standard answers that worry me angrychair May 2019 #42
Yes, I forgot about clean coal. Honeycombe8 May 2019 #43
Well hopefully a candidate will speak to you angrychair May 2019 #44
BOL to yu, too. Honeycombe8 May 2019 #45
I dont see how anyone can close that gap. honest.abe May 2019 #30
Every poll where Sanders isn't on top or near the top is a bad poll for him FrankBooth May 2019 #38
+1. Honeycombe8 May 2019 #39
I doubt Sanders will beat Harris in SC obamanut2012 May 2019 #48
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