Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: A-rated SurveyUSA NATIONAL poll: Biden 32%, Warren 22%, Sanders 17%, Harris 7%, Buttigieg 5%, [View all]Skya Rhen
(2,701 posts)This Survey USA poll has a larger sample size of 1,071 and Morning Consult has sample size of 2,202 which make them more reliable than many other polls out there, which use much smaller sample sizes.
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About: SurveyUSA interviewed 3,900 adults nationwide 10/15/19 through 10/16/19, immediately following the CNN/NYTimes Democratic candidate Debate 10/15/19. Of the adults, 3,080 are registered to vote. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA determined that 1,071 were likely to vote in a hypothetical Democratic primary "where they live" today. (Not every jurisdiction in the United States has a primary or caucus; not every American has a chance to vote in a Democratic primary, and by the time Democrats in certain states do get to vote in 2020, a number of the currently campaigning Democrats may have suspended their campaigns. As such, a nationwide poll such as this has greatest value when studying movement over time, from one poll to the next. Where, on this template, you see a "Triangle T", click directly on the "T" to open up tracking graphs that reveal SurveyUSA time-series data. Time-series data is not just available for the overall results to a particular question, but for every demographic sub-population. As is true with any opinion research report, the fewer the individual respondents in the sub-population, the larger the chance that sampling error and other error may make those estimates less precise.
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3f8c15c0-bab5-4d13-b944-5b368f707417
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I believe these two polls are the real deal - Biden is the clear front-runner...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden