Why I'm supporting the wildest, most radical left wing candidate: [View all]

[rgbecker]

This is why I’m going to support the wildest, most radical left wing candidate that runs for Democratic Nomination for President. MATH!

As this article points out, more eligible voters chose “None of Above” than either Trump or Clinton in 2018.
They stayed home or where ever else they were rather than vote. Maybe it was hard to take the time, maybe they had been squeezed out by GOP efforts to make it hard to register and vote. Probably they didn’t see how either of the two major party candidates were going to make any difference in their lives. Maybe they felt like they didn’t know the issues or no one in their families ever explained the importance of voting.

Whatever the reason it seems to me it would be easier to stimulate a few of these “none of the above” voters to show up than to peel away some of the wackos who voted for Trump and normally vote for the small government, low taxes, pro life, gun nuts courted by the GOP. But even if I’m wrong and the choice was 10% of the former Trump voters or 10% of the “None of the above” voters, off course I would go with bigger number.

Do the Math: 10% of 43.1% (Those who didn’t vote) equals 4.31% vs. 10% of 27% (Trump voters 2016) equals 2.7%.

That’s 4.31% of 231.5 Million or 9.97 Million vs. 2.7% of 231.5 or 6.25 Million. More than 3.72 Million difference. So even if it turns out Trump voters are more likely to turn to the Democrats and it become impossible to stimulate 10% of the non voters, a 3 million margin argues to concentrate on the non voters. Especially if the cost of getting information to each member of either group is the same.

So the question becomes: Which Candidate will stimulate the non voters to suddenly take interest? I propose the most radical candidate will draw in the non voters at a greater rate than repelling the usual Democratic voter. Further, Trump might be rejected by the GOP who are now wondering if hanging onto Trump’s coattails will bring them the same fate as their 2018 mid term losers. A radical candidate will be needed to differentiate from the usual corporate candidates and stimulate the new, young voters and those who feel they have been disenfranchised by the usual choices.

Currently, I’m going with Sanders, who has shown he can bring in new, young voters and those previously uninterested. He has worked to get exposure for his name and policies and he has worked the media so they actually have them on to give his views. No other candidate has done this so far. Sanders has completely turned around the situation from not getting equal coverage in 2016 to now getting more than his fair share.

Will one of the other progressive liberals stimulate the “None of the above” voters like Bernie does after they get more well known? We’ll see and I’m open to getting behind anyone of them if it appears they can do it.

I have no faith that Joe Biden will be able to pull it off and hoping for a centrist to draw off some from the GOP supporters to the Democratic ticket I think is like expecting Trump to suddenly start telling the truth. And if Trump is withdrawn by the GOP, Biden offers very little to those who normally just don’t vote.

What do you think? Don’t bother please with the “He’s not a Democrat”, “He’s grumpy”, “He never showed his tax returns”, “He has no support from the AA community”. Tell me why you think we should spend our money trying to get Trump voters to vote Democratic rather than trying to stimulate more non voters to show up. Tell why your candidate will do better than Sanders at stimulating those non voters.

All the best, RGB

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2016/11/10/13587462/trump-election-2016-voter-turnout