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Celerity

(44,600 posts)
9. 59% as of 2017, and dropping, by far the fastest rising group is Hispanics, they will pass up A-A's
Sun Feb 9, 2020, 11:33 PM
Feb 2020

eventually in our Party, although it takes longer for just the Democratic Party's % of Hispanics to pass up A'A's, as they are more split between the 2 parties than black voters are.






here is a very large, detailed article


States of Change

How Demographic Change Is Transforming the Republican and Democratic Parties

https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/democracy/reports/2019/06/27/471487/states-of-change-3/

snip

Black voters are, far and away, the most stable coalitional element in our study. Due to relatively low immigration and modest birth rates, black eligible voters have only grown at about the same pace as all voters. As a result, the rough size of this group has not changed significantly over time. Black voters have grown just slightly as a share of all voters (12 percent), Democratic voters (22 percent), and Republican voters (2 percent).

Current demographic trends suggest that this group will only grow marginally going into the future. Absent any shifts in turnout, black voters should make up an identical portion of voters, Democratic voters, and Republican voters in 2020. However, by 2036, black voters will make up 13 percent of all voters, 23 percent of Democratic voters, and 3 percent of Republican voters.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Democratic Primaries»Im so over Iowa and NH»Reply #9