![Joe Biden Joe Biden](imgs/2020-avatar-120-biden.jpg)
Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: Bernie hate needs to stop and soon [View all]CalFione
(571 posts)...and the conventional wisdom 3 months ago was that Warren had the best chance.
A *LOT* can happen between now and March 3rd. Bloomberg has gone from 0% to 20% in the blink of an eye. In 3 more weeks, he could be 10% ahead of everybody. Or he could collapse.
Events aren't static. Changes happen that rock the electorate, especially when 30% are undecided. A good debate performance quadrupled Klobuchar's support in a couple days in NH. A bad debate performance tonight could kill Bernie's momentum in SC and the Super Tuesday states. A candidate or two could drop out and put their support up for grabs. A candidate could have a health emergency or a major scandal erupt.
Polls taken in December look pretty silly now in February. Polls taken today might similarly look silly by March 3rd.
LET. IT. PLAY. OUT.
![](imgs/2020-avatar-120-biden.jpg)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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