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Democratic Primaries

Quixote1818

(30,447 posts)

15. He is generally 10 to 15% less popular than when he was sworn in

Reply to thesquanderer (Original post)

Tue Feb 25, 2020, 07:10 PM

Feb 2020

A good number of older GOP voters have died off and millions more new Democratic voters have reached voting age. We didn't get good turnout at all last election and should this round. We should be okay as long as Trump doesn't cheat too badly.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Will Trump be easier or harder to beat this time? [View all] thesquanderer Feb 2020 OP

I'm a committed pessimist. But I lean towards "harder to beat" EXCEPT MH1 Feb 2020 #1

harder ibegurpard Feb 2020 #2

the blue wave is still ongoing , combined with never trumpers who are not going to vote. Kurt V. Feb 2020 #3

I take no bets frazzled Feb 2020 #4

We ain't in Kansas any more, for sure. JudyM Feb 2020 #14

You didn't beat him last time. mahatmakanejeeves Feb 2020 #5

No, the swing state numbers have to be outside of MOE to beat Trump. Biden only does that uponit7771 Feb 2020 #6

Didn't we just have this conversation? ;-) thesquanderer Feb 2020 #9

Yes we did, save MI Sanders is within MOE in swing states where as Biden has more states. uponit7771 Feb 2020 #11

re: "save MI Sanders is within MOE in swing states" thesquanderer Feb 2020 #17

That's not the 3 month avg, Sanders Fl avg now in RCP is .3 that's losing to an incumbent. uponit7771 Feb 2020 #20

It'll be hard unless the economy crashes. WhiskeyGrinder Feb 2020 #7

Nope rockfordfile Feb 2020 #18

Right, and the margins were bad enough in the wrong places that Trump was hard to beat then, too. WhiskeyGrinder Feb 2020 #19

You forgot one: Russians. Squinch Feb 2020 #8

We had Russian interference last time, and we'll probably have Russian interference this time. thesquanderer Feb 2020 #10

It's going to be a lot worse and a lot more blatant this time. There is nothing stopping them. Squinch Feb 2020 #12

Because of Bernie's popularity, Sloumeau Feb 2020 #13

If Bernie is the candidate, there are other pros and cons specific to him... thesquanderer Feb 2020 #21

He is generally 10 to 15% less popular than when he was sworn in Quixote1818 Feb 2020 #15

It is always harder to beat a sitting president, Can be done of course. patricia92243 Feb 2020 #16