Democratic Primaries

Gothmog

(155,517 posts)

21. sanders is counting on splitting African American vote

Wed Apr 17, 2019, 02:39 PM

Apr 2019

This is from the article cited in the OP https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2019/04/bernie-sanders-thinking-he-will-win-it-all-2020/587326/

“There’s a three-out-of-four chance we are not the nominee,” Faiz Shakir, Sanders’s current campaign manager, says he tells the senator, “but that one-in-four chance is better than anyone else in the field.”...

He’s counting on winning Iowa and New Hampshire, where he was already surprisingly strong in 2016, and hoping that Cory Booker and Kamala Harris will split the black electorate in South Carolina and give him a path to slip through there, too. And then, Sanders aides believe, he’ll easily win enough delegates to put him into contention at the convention. They say they don’t need him to get more than 30 percent to make that happen.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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The 2020 Race Is Going Just Like Bernie Sanders Wanted [View all] Shrek Apr 2019 OP

Tulsi Gabbard? Seriously? Blue_Tires Apr 2019 #1

At least s/he selected someone question everything Apr 2019 #3

This message was self-deleted by its author sfwriter Apr 2019 #5

If you're trying to say something about me, just come out and fuckin' say it... Blue_Tires Apr 2019 #6

Not about you. But with such an active site, still puzzled that the majority here question everything Apr 2019 #8

Since you're keeping score, you'll remember who I initially had before I went back to undec, right? Blue_Tires Apr 2019 #11

You're just being baited. Walk away. Voltaire2 Apr 2019 #16

If they read the question, I don't believe most Undecideds truly are. thesquanderer Apr 2019 #42

How about.. sacto95834 Apr 2019 #29

re: "What are you going to do if your favorite candidate drops out early or performs poorly?" thesquanderer Apr 2019 #43

I hear you... sacto95834 Apr 2019 #45

Exactly. TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #70

The majority of DUers aren't undecided, 43% of DUers are currently undecided. nt PunkinPi Apr 2019 #36

Hilariously, the same same sentiment can apply to your original comment. Lancero Apr 2019 #17

Someone pimpin' Tulsi says a hell of a lot more than my undecided... Blue_Tires Apr 2019 #26

Why isn't it ok to be undecided at this point? Bradshaw3 Apr 2019 #10

that's a pretty jerkish comment qazplm135 Apr 2019 #12

It is? BannonsLiver Apr 2019 #20

What is wrong with undecided? cwydro Apr 2019 #32

I don't either at this point. To be honest there doc03 Jul 2019 #76

They changed to Seth Moulton. TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #64

Nah, too many others who will pull votes from him. He's got his loyal base but it isn't the base... brush Apr 2019 #2

Oddly enough, when I checked RCP, TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #71

Gotta Love Tulsi bahrbearian Apr 2019 #4

Tulsi is my homie! sacto95834 Apr 2019 #35

"without the attention or scrutiny" bluedigger Apr 2019 #7

Right workinclasszero Apr 2019 #14

That stood out to me as well. WeekiWater Apr 2019 #15

No one took sanders seriously in 2016 and so sanders was not vetted Gothmog Apr 2019 #23

I'm glad that all of the candidates are being vetted. TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #73

Vetting is a good thing Gothmog Jul 2019 #80

No, a number of other things are going on. But #1 Hortensis Apr 2019 #9

it's not really even started yet qazplm135 Apr 2019 #13

Post removed Post removed Apr 2019 #18

sanders supporters think that sanders can win nomination with 30% of vote Gothmog Apr 2019 #22

Check further down the thread. TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #74

That is not going to happen Gothmog Jul 2019 #79

Or Biden's base artislife Apr 2019 #27

Post removed Post removed Apr 2019 #19

sanders is counting on splitting African American vote Gothmog Apr 2019 #21

He needs a new plan then booksandpencils Apr 2019 #37

You are correct. TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #75

And infighting MFM008 Apr 2019 #24

Bernie is hoping for a brokered convention. Gothmog Apr 2019 #49

'stick with sanders no matter what..? i hope that means they will support the dem nom..??? samnsara Apr 2019 #25

Yes .. he has consolidated his devotees BlueFlorida Apr 2019 #28

You're aware he got 43% of the primary vote in 16 right? Kentonio Apr 2019 #38

Like I said somewhere else BlueFlorida Apr 2019 #39

We'll see. Kentonio Apr 2019 #40

The proof is in the polls BlueFlorida Apr 2019 #41

The polls show him in the lead amongst announced candidates. Kentonio Apr 2019 #44

From 43% in the primaries in 2016 BlueFlorida Apr 2019 #46

Pretty nonsense analysis to be honest. Kentonio Apr 2019 #47

A lot of assumptions there. Leaving out Biden and Sanders, the cumulative support for the other still_one Apr 2019 #30

I do think it looks reasonably good for Sanders. David__77 Apr 2019 #31

You do know many real democrats have long memories Gothmog Apr 2019 #34

sanders wants to repeat 1984 Gothmog Apr 2019 #33

Nate Silver- Sanders Can Win, But He Isn't Polling Like A Favorite Gothmog Apr 2019 #48

This thread didn't age well. nt TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #50

It's aged just fine. Tiggeroshii Jul 2019 #51

Being consistent at 15-20% of the vote won't win the nomination, particularly if there are other TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #52

It will when there are 18 other canidates vying for the same kind of support Tiggeroshii Jul 2019 #53

LOL. TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #54

Agreed. Tiggeroshii Jul 2019 #55

Perhaps you misunderstood my comment because we aren't in agreement. TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #56

Perhaps you misunderstood mine Tiggeroshii Jul 2019 #58

That's a bold statement TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #59

Polls rght now are as accurate as polls were at this time in 2015 Tiggeroshii Jul 2019 #60

I don't bet on any political races TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #61

... Tiggeroshii Jul 2019 #62

Biden never lost a single primary. George II Jul 2019 #65

This message was self-deleted by its author TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #67

Why would anyone make such a claim when is knowingly false TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #68

That's what I Cha Jul 2019 #63

Oh my sheshe2 Jul 2019 #66

Yes, as discussed above some people believe that 15% is greater than 25%. TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #69

Lol sheshe2 Jul 2019 #72

Many expect the situation only to get worse now that the BS campaign is embroiled lapucelle Jul 2019 #77

Yes, I agree. TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #78

If sanders is the nominee, trump will win 45+ states Gothmog Jul 2019 #57