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NNadir

NNadir's Journal
NNadir's Journal
March 18, 2021

Angel

March 18, 2021

The greenhouse gas emissions of indoor cannabis production in the United States

The paper I'll discuss in this post is this one: The greenhouse gas emissions of indoor cannabis production in the United States (Summers, H.M., Sproul, E. & Quinn, J.C. Nat Sustain (2021))

The abstract of the paper, which should be open sourced, says it all:

The resulting life cycle GHG emissions range, based on location, from 2,283 to 5,184?kg CO2-equivalent per kg of dried flower. The life cycle GHG emissions are largely attributed to electricity production and natural gas consumption from indoor environmental controls, high-intensity grow lights and the supply of carbon dioxide for accelerated plant growth.


Some excerpts from the full text:

Understanding the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of commercial cannabis production is essential for consumers, the general public and policy makers to improve decision making to mitigate the effects of climate change. Since recreational legalization was pioneered in Colorado in 2012, the US legal cannabis industry has rapidly grown from a US$3.5 billion industry to US$13.6 billion in annual sales, with states like Colorado selling more than 530?tonnes of legally grown cannabis product every year1,2. Additionally, with 48% of adults in the United States having tried cannabis at some point in their life and 13% of adults having consumed in the last year, substantial demand exists at the consumer level3. Despite its rapid growth and widespread use, there is minimal quantitative understanding of the GHG emissions from legal indoor cannabis cultivation.

The initial amendment legalizing recreational cannabis in Colorado required the majority of cannabis product to be sold at a collocated retail location4. This restriction led to cultivation practices occurring within the city limits of Denver, CO. This, along with security, theft and quality concerns, consequently led to the cultivation of cannabis indoors. Although data concerning the exact amount of cannabis by cultivation method are not currently publicly available for the United States, a recent survey of producers in North America showed that 41% of respondents indicated that their grow operations occur solely indoors5. It is well known that indoor cannabis cultivation requires significant energy input, reflected in high utility bills and industry reports4,6,7,8,9. However, many of these large energy loads, along with other material inputs required to cultivate indoor cannabis, have not yet been equated to GHG emissions.

Previously, rudimentary quantifications of GHG emissions from indoor cannabis have been performed by equating emissions with electricity use from monthly bills6,7. However, this approach omits additional GHG emissions from other energy sources, such as natural gas, upstream GHG emissions from the production and use of material inputs, and downstream GHG emissions from the handling of waste. The most thorough report quantifying GHG emissions from indoor cannabis is from Mills10, which states that growing 1?kg of cannabis indoors releases 4,600?kg of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e). However, the scope of the work was intended to be a central estimate, representing a singular US location case study for the industry’s general practices. Furthermore, Mills10 conducted this study prior to legalization and only used data from small-scale experimental systems, thus lacking validation of full-scale commercial grow operations...

...An indoor cannabis cultivation model was developed to track the necessary energy and materials required to grow cannabis year-round in an indoor, warehouse-like environment. This environment maintains climate conditions as required for the cannabis plants, yielding a consistent product regardless of weather conditions. The model calculates the necessary energy to maintain these indoor climate conditions by using a year’s worth of hourly weather data from more than 1,000 locations in the United States11. The analysed locations are independent of current legal status and represent hypothetical grow facilities in all 50 US states. The model then converts the required energy, supplied from electricity and natural gas, into GHG emissions through electrical grid emissions data from 26 regions in the United States12 and life cycle inventory (LCI) data13,14...


Here's a look some pictures from the paper:

Fig. 1: Life cycle GHG emissions and energy intensities from indoor cannabis cultivation modelled across the United States.
From: The greenhouse gas emissions of indoor cannabis production in the United States




The caption:

a, Cumulative GHG emissions from cultivating cannabis indoors interpolated within eGRID electricity region boundaries. eGRID, Emissions and Generation Resource Integrated Database. b, Natural gas required to maintain indoor environmental conditions. c, Electricity required to maintain indoor environmental conditions and high-intensity grow lights. d, GHG emissions for the US electricity regions modelled. Full resolution figures are provided in Supplementary Figs. 1–4.


Fig. 2: Breakdown of life cycle GHG emissions contributions from indoor cannabis cultivation.



The caption:

GHG emissions from indoor cannabis production at ten of the 1,011 locations modelled. The GHG emissions totals represent individual simulation results based on modelling input parameters specific to each location. The positive values represent released GHG emissions and the negative value represents stored GHG emissions based upon the model system boundary. The HVAC labels in the main figure refer to the major equipment used to manipulate outside air to meet inside condition criteria, whereas the indoor environmental controls in ‘Other’ are supplemental (suppl.) systems representing additional equipment located inside grow rooms that aid in maintaining environmental conditions.


Some technical details of growing conditions:

The HVAC systems are responsible for modifying air temperature and humidity to an allowable range before being supplied to the cannabis plants. This is critical to maintaining plant health as sudden changes in temperature and humidity can shock the plants and ultimately lead to crop damage and product loss. Additionally, cannabis plants require a regular supply of fresh air to help moderate humidity and oxygen levels. In this work, an air supply rate of 30 volumetric air changes per hour (ACH) was assumed. This value represents the average value from the literature, which reports values as high as 60?ACH and as low as 12?ACH (Supplementary Table 1). For comparison, the recommended ventilation for homes is 0.35?ACH and operating rooms in hospitals require a minimum of 15?ACH15,16. Air condition modifications and supply by HVAC are cumulatively shown to be the largest contributor to overall GHG emissions regardless of location (see Supplementary Table 2 for all contributions).


"ACH" apparently plays a big role:

Fig. 3: Sensitivity analysis of ACH.

From: The greenhouse gas emissions of indoor cannabis production in the United States



The caption:

Impact of ACH on GHG emissions from indoor cannabis cultivation for the same ten locations displayed in Fig. 2. The baseline assumption for this study was 30?ACH, shown in red.
'

Some commentary in the conclusion:

Although there are many hurdles associated with shifting cannabis growth to legal and well-regulated greenhouse and outdoor cultivation practices, preliminary investigations into the potential difference in GHG emissions when switching to greenhouse and outdoor cultivation practices indicated reductions of 42 and 96%, respectively6,7. It is important to note that these reports are limited in scope and resolution as the GHG emissions are based primarily on electricity consumption through monthly bills. Therefore, the current state of the industry would benefit from understanding the true GHG emissions of greenhouse and outdoor cultivation at a similar resolution to the work presented here to allow real comparison between the three cultivation methods. The results of this study affirm that more than 80% of the GHG emissions from all indoor cannabis locations assessed are caused by practices directly linked to indoor cultivation methods, specifically indoor environmental control, high-intensity grow lights and the supply of CO2 for increased plant growth. If indoor cannabis cultivation were to be fully converted to outdoor production, these preliminary estimates show that the state of Colorado, for example, would see a reduction of more than 1.3% in the state’s annual GHG emissions (2.1?MtCO2e)24.


Was it Bob Dylan who said: "I would not feel so alone; everybody must get stoned?"

Whatever.

All this expense, for no other reason than the need to avoid reality...

History will not forgive us, nor should it.

Have a nice day tomorrow.
March 16, 2021

Ted Cruz Accuses Democrats of Trying to Cancel Poverty

Ted Cruz Accuses Democrats of Trying to Cancel Poverty

(Borowitz Report.)

WASHINGTON (The Borowitz Report)—Calling the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan “a fever dream of the cancel-culture crew,” Senator Ted Cruz accused Democrats of a “politically correct plot to cancel poverty.”

“Poverty has been a part of American life since this country was founded, in 1776, but that apparently means nothing to the Democrat Cancel Culture Gang,” Cruz said. “In their intolerant view, poverty is somehow no longer appropriate.”

He warned that, far from being Democrats’ ultimate goal, “cancelling poverty is just the beginning.”

“If you read the fine print, they also want to cancel hunger and homelessness,” he said. “And, if you’re used to living without health insurance, sorry—that’s yet another American tradition they want to cancel.”

“We should have seen this coming,” he added. “First they came for Mr. Potato Head.”
March 16, 2021

Advice my parents gave me and advice I'll give my kids.

Admittedly, I am the "advice my parents gave," and not wishing to make fun of this rising great generation and regretting what mine has left for them, I nevertheless found this sadly amusing.

From the New Yorker: Advice My Parents Gave Me Versus Advice I Will Give My Kids

Advice My Parents Gave Me: Go to college and major in what you love.

Advice I Will Give My Kids: Go to college only if you’ll major in science, engineering, or money. It’s a bleak job market, and majoring in English literature or anything with the word “English” in it has been useless since the Taft Administration.



My Parents: Never show up to a party empty-handed.

Me: Never show up to a party. Send a text to the host twenty minutes before the party starts to say that you’re “sooooooo sorry” to cancel but your stomach is feeling “weird.”



My Parents: To find a job, walk into the offices of ABC News’s “This Week with George Stephanopoulos” and ask for one.

Me: Apply to jobs via LinkedIn, ZipRecruiter, or nepotism. Write a cover letter and attach your résumé, then manually enter the same information through the company’s portal, which looks as though it was designed in Microsoft Paint. Do this twenty times a day for two years, and you’re bound to make it to a third round of phone interviews before getting ghosted.



My Parents: Don’t put photos of yourself on the Internet. You’ll get kidnapped!

Me: Post thousands of carefully curated photos of your life on Instagram so you can build a following and attract sponsors who reflect your core values, such as Bacardi and MeUndies.



My Parents: Spend your twenties finding true love within a two-mile radius of your village.

Me: Spend your twenties moving between L.A. and New York to figure out what you want in your ideal partner by dating all the worst people from both coasts and Austin, Texas.



My Parents: Show how much you appreciate your friends by making them elaborate, cellophane-wrapped gift baskets. Fill the baskets with gourmet biscuits, teas, and an ornate sugar spoon that says “Gimme a little sugar, baby.”

Me: Just Venmo them five dollars.

My Parents: Never date someone who rides a motorcycle.

Me: Never date someone who rides a unicycle ironically (unless the person got a MacArthur “genius” grant for it)...
March 16, 2021

Power Co-op Files Bankruptcy After $2.1 Billion ERCOT Bill

Power Co-op Files Bankruptcy After $2.1 Billion ERCOT Bill

Some excerpts:

The group considered Texas’ oldest and largest electricity cooperative has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, saying it can’t pay money wanted by the state’s grid operator in connection with power outages during a major winter storm that hit in February.

Brazos Electric Power Cooperative filed its bankruptcy petition March 1 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas. The company said it received a $2.1 billion charge from the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), the group that maintains and operates much of the state’s electricity grid. Brazos Electric is the wholesale energy provider for its 16-member cooperative.

Texas’ deregulated power market, which is not connected to other U.S. electricity transmission systems, means that most of the state’s power customers are not beholden to any one energy provider. Instead, customers can choose among dozens of electricity retailers on an open market.

Electricity generators—companies such as NRG and Vistra—produce power, which can then be sold by retail electric providers. Those retail companies include Griddy, which is being sued by the state attorney general’s office for sending customers bills for as much as $5,000 for the cost of power during the weeklong storm.

State officials said they received more than 400 complaints about Griddy in less than two weeks. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in the lawsuit said Griddy deceived customers when it promised low “wholesale” energy prices...


Gee, isn't it amazing that Texas AG Ken Paxton is taking time out of trying to overthrow the government by committing election fraud in other people's states to pay attention to events in his own state?
March 16, 2021

Tales of Reliability, Climate, Water, and Energy on the Spanish Peninsula.

I'm not going to write very much about this paper, Sustainable Energy Transition Considering the Water–Energy Nexus: A Multiobjective Optimization Framework, (Javier Tovar-Facio, Lidia S. Guerras, José M. Ponce-Ortega, and Mariano Martín ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering 2021 9 (10), 3768-3780) in this post; other things are constraining my time.

It is about energy on the Iberian peninsula, specifically in Spain.

Nevertheless, in a sensible world, a graphic from the paper and a table from it would mean something fairly obvious, but unsurprisingly we don't live in a sensible world.

The graphic, figure 2 from the paper:



The key:

CA set of existing carbon power stations
CC set of existing combined cycle
CG set of existing cogeneration power plants
CS set of existing concentrated solar power
EO set of existing onshore wind power plants
HY set of existing hydroelectric power station
PV set of existing photovoltaic power plants
NU set of existing nuclear power plants

A table, table 1 from the paper:



Electricity is translating into a basic human right, in my view, since an indicator of poverty is the absence of electricity. However, for a sustainable world, we must produce electricity with the lowest reliable carbon impact.

There is one, and only one, system on the Spanish peninsula which is both reliable and low carbon.

It should be obvious, but it's not. And the fact that it's not as obvious as it should be is a reason we are now skirting 418 ppm of the dangerous fossil fuel waste carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, about 25 ppm higher than it was just 10 years ago.

Have a nice evening.

March 13, 2021

There was this night, in San Diego in 1981 that, by auspicious magic, I was denied.

This piece always makes me think of it, sitting on a patio overlooking a Canyon in Clairmont, late evening, talking with the sister of the then object of my (wistful) affections.

?list=RDMM

The music is every bit is wonderful as it was back then, but, that said, you live to thank God that all your prayers were not answered.

I don't know why, it was - what 40 years ago? - but somehow I found myself thinking about it.

Life is thrilling, and then you die.
March 13, 2021

I feel free.

Off for my second Moderna this morning.



March 11, 2021

Nature Editorial Drags Out the Usual Rote Selective Attention.

It's um, disappointing in the extreme to hear this editorial stuff trotted out, in one of the world's most prestigious scientific journals.

Nuclear technology’s role in the world’s energy supply is shrinking

Some excerpts and comments:



“It is not enough to take this weapon out of the hands of the soldiers. It must be put into the hands of those who will know how to strip its military casing and adapt it to the arts of peace.”

These stirring words, spoken in 1953 by then US president Dwight Eisenhower, are worth recalling as the world marks the anniversaries of two devastating tragedies involving nuclear technology: the Fukushima disaster in Japan on 11 March 2011, and the catastrophic accident at Chernobyl in what is now Ukraine on 26 April 1986.

In Japan, some 19,300 lives were lost as a result of an earthquake that occurred off the island of Honshu and the tsunami that followed. The tsunami also swept over the protective sea wall around the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, and the subsequent flooding led to the partial meltdown of three reactor cores, causing fires and explosions. Twenty-five years earlier, human error resulted in a meltdown at the Chernobyl site, blowing the roof off a nuclear reactor and releasing radiation across Europe...


This is very misleading syntax. The 19,300 lives lost in the Fukushima event were not lost to radiation, but to seawater. (More than 200,000 lives were lost to seawater in the SE Asian Tsunami but the editorial doesn't question the viability of coastal cities, particularly in the era where climate change is not being addressed at all. The number of deaths from radiation at Fukushima is exceedingly small, if measurable at all. It is notable - and reported in various contexts in Nature and notably in Lancet that air pollution kills as many people every one to two days as died from seawater at Fukushima. In fact, air pollution kills more people every day that Covid-19 killed on its worst day worldwide.

In addition to the deaths and health risks, the cost of the damages caused by Chernobyl is thought to exceed US$200 billion, and the Japan Center for Economic Research estimates the costs of decontaminating the Fukushima site to be between $470 billion and $660 billion. In the wake of the disaster, 12 of Japan’s reactors have been permanently shut; a further 24 remain closed pending ongoing safety reviews, which are adding to the costs.


This statement is also disingenuous. There is no reference whatsoever to the standards to which the "decontamination" of Fukushima will be held, nor to the number of lives that would be saved by completing it to the standard implied. Far worse of course is there is no financial comparison to the putative cost of "decontaminating" the planetary atmosphere of the dangerous fossil fuel waste carbon dioxide, or "restoring" areas destroyed by excessive heatwaves, natural disasters brought on by climate change.

Might it not be true that rather than spending $660 billion to "decontaminate" Fukushima to save - how many lives exactly from radiation - that we actually spent the same money eliminating air pollution? Which activity would save more lives?

And then there's this precious bit on nonsense that I've been hearing for half a century:

By contrast, although renewable-energy technologies are still in their relative infancy, their costs are falling and their regulation is much more straightforward. This is important: the technology used to turn on lights or charge mobile phones shouldn’t need to involve national or international defence apparatus.

Clearly, nuclear energy will be with us for some time. New plants are being built and older ones will take time to decommission. But it is not proving to be the solution it was once seen as for decarbonizing the world’s energy market. Nuclear power has benefits, but its continued low take-up indicates that some countries think these are outweighed by the risks. For others, the development of nuclear energy is unaffordable. If the world is to achieve net zero carbon emissions, the focus must be on renewable energies — and one of their greatest benefits is that their sources are available, freely, to all nations.


If so called "renewable energy" is "freely available" how come we just spent three trillion dollars in this century on solar and wind energy producing no other result than an accelerating decay of the planetary atmosphere? There's nothing fucking "free" about it, spending more than the GDP of India on a technology that has done nothing to address climate change.

If so called "renewable energy" is in its infancy, why am I not also in my infancy? The solar cell was invented in 1954.



Bell Labs Photovoltaics (Other ads about the solar future described in the 1950's can be found at this link.)

As of 2021, almost 70 years after the invention of the solar cell, they don't produce 2% of the world's energy, now exceeding 600 exajoules per year.

This week, carbon dioxide concentrations measured at the Mauna Loa have been running at around 418 ppm, around 25 ppm higher than 10 years ago.



That's um, data, on how successful our "freely available" so called "renewable energy" is doing at addressing climate change. Despite world wide enthusiasm for "freely available" so called "renewable energy" the use of dangerous fossil fuels and the accumulation of dangerous fossil fuel waste - including but hardly limited to carbon dioxide - is rising at the fastest rate ever observed.

Really, this is appallingly bad thinking from the editorial staff of one of the world's premier scientific journals, almost at the level of criminality.

It is, to say the least, beyond disappointing. It's at the level of embarrassing stupidity, and surely involves selective attention, in the scientific field known as "selection bias" or "selection pressure."

In other news, over at Science here is an article (open sourced I believe) on the unexpected health consequences of Fukushima:

This physician has studied the Fukushima disaster for a decade—and found a surprising health threat

It would seem that the fear of radiation clearly and unambiguously kills more people than industrial radiation does.

One evening in June 2011, Masaharu Tsubokura went to bed and found he couldn’t close his left eye. His face was paralyzed, and for a few weeks the doctor who had spent months counseling residents displaced by a massive nuclear disaster was himself a patient.

The paralysis was temporary. But the stress that caused it has been a constant in Tsubokura’s life since he volunteered in Japan’s Fukushima prefecture, days after the triple catastrophe that rocked it on 11 March 2011: a magnitude 9 earthquake, a tsunami that rose up to 40 meters, and multiple meltdowns and explosions at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant. What was meant to be a short volunteer stint giving health checks to evacuees became a career that has lasted 10 years and counting.

In the months after the disaster, Tsubokura moved from routine medicine to measuring radiation exposure. He became adept at explaining radiation basics and risks to residents and officials. “He spent a huge amount of time in town hall meetings, lectures, and dialogues with local people, which made him respected and trusted,” says Kenji Shibuya, a global health scholar at King’s College London who collaborated with him. And Tsubokura soon reached a controversial conclusion: The evacuation had a far bigger impact on health than the radiation. “No one died of radiation,” he says, whereas uprooting tens of thousands of people caused clear social and health problems.

Early on, Tsubokura did his best to allay fears among evacuees and residents living just outside the evacuation zone. Many people welcomed his reassurances, though some accused him of being an apologist for the power company and the government. But the physician, now 39, persisted.

“Many people would have left and said, ‘OK, I tried my best,’” says Gilles Hériard-Dubreuil, a Paris-based consultant involved in community rehabilitation in Belarus after the Chernobyl nuclear plant accident in Ukraine in 1986. It’s a sign of Tsubokura’s courage and humanity, he says, “that he maintained his presence and he faced the adversity.”

Splitting his time between jobs at hospitals in Tokyo and Fukushima, Tsubokura accumulated data that would put the risks in perspective. In more than 140 papers, he and colleagues have documented the relatively low radiation exposure of Fukushima residents and the health impacts of the evacuation—a high death toll among the elderly, increases in chronic diseases, and a decline in general well-being...


Have a nice evening.

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