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Quixote1818

Quixote1818's Journal
Quixote1818's Journal
November 4, 2020

As for MI, WI and PA - Which do we have the best shot at and which the worst?


What are the latest projections?

Thanks
November 4, 2020

Hillary won MN by only 1 pt in 2016. Biden is currently leading there by almost 10 pts.

I can't believe there won't be at least 1/3 of a shift in PA, WI and MI if MN moved that much.

November 4, 2020

Arizona is only 100,000 votes below their 2016 levels with Biden up by over 200,000


I don't see how Trump can make that up?
November 3, 2020

Big surge for Biden on PredictIt in NC and AZ the past couple of hours.

Also Biden shot up 7 cents and Trump has fallen 4 cents on the National Map.

https://www.predictit.org/

November 3, 2020

Biden picked up 1 more vote than Hillary in Dixville Notch. Trump loses 2

2016

Hillary Clinton – 4
Donald Trump – 2
Gary Johnson – 1
Mitt Romney – 1


2020

Joseph Biden – 5
Donald Trump – 0

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dixville_Notch,_New_Hampshire

November 3, 2020

If you combine 10 polls and average them out, doesn't the margin of error become pretty small?


For example taking 10 polls in PA putting Biden up around 5.5%. What kind of margin of error with that many polls?


Any statistics experts here?

Profile Information

Gender: Do not display
Hometown: New Mexico
Member since: Mon Dec 1, 2003, 03:42 PM
Number of posts: 29,014
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