louis c
louis c's JournalIf Trump Duplicates the U.K. Vote on Brexit.............
.......he will be trounced in a landslide.
The British electorate was 90% white and only 10% minority, basically reflecting the population breakdown in the United Kingdom (87% white and 13% minority). The white vote was 53% to 47% for Leave.
So, if in November, Trump receives just 53% of the white vote to Hillary's 47% (and that's expected to be 70% of the total vote), and Hillary maintains the Obama vote with minorities (she is currently over performing even Obama's 2008 totals and should receive about 80%), Hillary will win the election by over 16 million votes. That would translate into at least 38 states (including all the big ones, except Texas). Result:Landslide
So, when you hear that we should worry because of the Brexit vote, just remember, facts are a stronger indicator than rhetoric.
I wonder who Winston Churchill was Talking About?
The Best Argument Against Democracy Is A Five Minute Conversation With The Avertage Voters – Politics Quote of Winston Churchill
http://www.thequotepedia.com/the-best-argument-against-democracy-is-a-five-minute-conversation-with-the-avertage-voters-politics-quote/
Demographic Comparision of Brexit vs American Election
For all of those Trumpeters trying to make the comparison of the British election to Clinton vs. Trump, let's look inside the numbers.
87% of Great Britain is White. The expected election percentage of white voters in the 2016 general election in the United States is 70%.
White voters in Great Britain voted "leave" by a 53% to 47% margin.
If Hillary gets 47% of the white vote in November, she'll probably carry 40 states.
So much for a "harbinger of things to come".
I Lost $7,000 Today and Trump is Gloating About It
I have about $220,000 in a 401K retirement account after 22 years of work.
Today I estimate that I lost $7,000 because of the Brexit vote. I know that the account is subject to the ups and downs of the market.
But how many Americans in my place enjoy watching Trump gloat about it?
Donald Trump Implicates Ronald Reagan in Orlando Massacre
Let's start out by looking at this quote from Donald Trump.
Presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump said Monday that the man suspected of opening fire on an LGBT nightclub Sunday in Orlando, Florida and killing 49 people was only able to do so because of the nation's "immigration system."
"The bottom line is that the only reason the killer was in America in the first place was because we allowed his family to come here," Trump said at a rally in New Hampshire. "That is a fact and a fact we need to talk about."
We can certainly substantiate that Ronald Reagan was President when Omar Marteen, the Orlando shooter, was born in 1986.
I haven't been able to verify it, but it would be a logical assumption, that his parents came from Afghanistan sometime between 1981 and 1986.
So applying Trump logic to the statement he made, either Jimmy Carter is to blame, or Ronald Reagan. The numbers and history seem to back Reagan in this assumption.
My most recent "discussion" with a Trump supporter
Let me start off by letting you know that my cousin, who happens to be my dearest and closest friend, is a Trump supporter. On one occasion, I told him that when I talk to him about the subject of Trump, it's like going to my Aunt's house and seeing her watch a televangelist on TV and she's writing out a $1,000 check because she's convinced this charlatan can cure her arthritis over the airwaves and make her life better. I feel it's my obligation to talk her out of sending that check and try to inform her that this is a scam.
A couple of days ago, I asked him what it was about Trump that he finds so attractive. He answered, "he's not politician. I hate politicians." I replied, "Don't you hear what he says. His bigotry. His contradictions on issues?" He says, "No, I don't watch the media or read the papers. All the media does is lie. I don't believe a word they say."
Here's my response, "You can't have a Democracy without politicians. That's just a fact. You can't have freedom without a free press, that's a fact. If you want to live in a country without a Democracy and without a free press, America may not be the country for you. North Korea has no politicians and no free press. Rather than try to change our country to be like North Korea, perhaps it would be easier for you just to move there."
We abruptly changed the subject and began talking about the Red Sox lack of pitching.
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Gender: MaleHometown: Boston
Home country: USA
Current location: Boston
Member since: Fri May 14, 2004, 05:52 PM
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