babylonsister
babylonsister's Journal"Trump Has No Reparative Skills": Cautious Optimism in Bidenworld as Trump Polling Craters
2020 Election
“Trump Has No Reparative Skills”: Cautious Optimism in Bidenworld as Trump Polling Craters
But “nobody in a presidential campaign runs it based on June polling,” says Anita Dunn. And Trump may be rolling out a campaign of racial fear.
By Chris Smith
June 11, 2020
Lily Adams knows, painfully well, about late surprises in a presidential campaign: She was a top communications strategist for Hillary Clinton in 2016. “There were polls four years ago that showed us up double digits in the last month before the election,” Adams says. “Polls don’t vote. I think that’s an Obama saying that I’m co-opting. There is a long, long way to go. But we’ve seen some encouraging signs for Joe Biden.”
That is an understatement. The presumptive Democratic nominee has been on a run of strong polling news for more than a month. Battleground states? The RCP average has Biden tied with President Donald Trump in North Carolina, up by three points in Wisconsin, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Arizona, and up by seven in Michigan. Even Georgia appears to be a dead heat. Individual polls give Biden significantly bigger swing state margins; he’s been ahead in every major national head-to-head matchup since a late-April IBD–TIPP survey that showed a tie. This week, in a poll that infuriated Trump, CNN had Biden ahead by a whopping 14 points, nearly triple the lead he showed in May.
Polls are always snapshots of current moods and trends, and not predictions of election results. Trump’s incompetent response to the coronavirus, to an economic collapse, and to the George Floyd protests has provided plenty of substantive reasons for his approval ratings to be tanking. Maybe the ongoing national trauma is finally showing key voters who Trump really is—or maybe the tumult increases the possibility that Biden’s polling surge is something of a bubble. Anita Dunn, the campaign’s senior adviser, is emphatic that there will be no irrational exuberance in Bidenworld. “No one should be surprised, given the three crises facing this country, that voters are looking at the choice between the two candidates and are responding to Joe Biden’s record of steady leadership, the relevant experience to lead in a crisis, his fundamental character, the empathy and compassion he has for people—because it is everything Donald Trump has not brought to the presidency,” Dunn tells me. “But nobody in a presidential campaign runs it based on June polling.”
Yet other veteran Democratic operatives are allowing themselves to feel unusually optimistic. “As an incumbent president, you are carrying the onus of responsibility for current events,” says Joel Benenson, a strategist and pollster for Barack Obama’s two presidential campaigns. “How do you repair any damage that they’re causing to your image? I’m not saying that any of the current polling is dispositive at this point, but the only reason to take it seriously is that Trump has no reparative skills. I mean, this is a real weakness. He keeps doubling down on his worst qualities. Trump has singlehandedly succeeded in alienating what was an important constituency for the Republican Party for many elections in the past. That is suburban women.”
more...
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/06/cautious-optimism-in-bidenworld-as-trump-polling-craters
U.S. surgeon general on George Floyd: "That could have been me"
28 mins ago - Politics & Policy
U.S. surgeon general on George Floyd: "That could have been me"
Ursula Perano
Jerome Adams
U.S. Surgeon General Jerome Adams reflected on the death of George Floyd on Politico's "Pulse Check" podcast Wednesday, noting the similarities between himself and the 46-year-old black man killed by a Minneapolis police officer last month.
What they're saying:
"Especially if I'm not wearing a uniform, but I'm casually dressed in my hoodie and tennis shoes and athletic apparel — and that could be me on the side of a road with a knee in my neck," he added.
Why it matters: Adams, the nation's top doctor since 2017, is one of the most prominent African-American officials serving in the Trump administration. Yet the surgeon general still says he's been racially profiled throughout his life, detained on several occasions by police and security guards on false accusations.
more...
https://www.axios.com/jerome-adams-surgeon-general-george-floyd-3c20339c-98f4-430a-b47a-c8379534e49e.html
Speaker Pelosi: "Real men wear masks, we always say."
This will drive him coo coo!
https://twitter.com/i/status/1271105384401506309
M.McSally: Chuck Schumer Is Going To Have To "Pry The Senate Majority Out Of My Cold, Dead Hands"
https://www.joemygod.com/2020/06/martha-mcsally-chuck-schumer-is-going-to-have-to-pry-the-senate-majority-out-of-my-cold-dead-hands/
Martha McSally: Chuck Schumer Is Going To Have To “Pry The Senate Majority Out Of My Cold, Dead Hands”
June 11, 2020 2020 Elections, Republicans
Fox News radio host Guy Benson:
The last two polls have you down double digits. The Fox News poll that just came out last week showed you down 13 points. It sounds like maybe some of your internal polling is showing it closer.
Sen. Martha McSally:
Why would Chuck Schumer be spending money on me right now? So, you know, we’re in the fight. This is an important race for President Trump to win. And also for the Senate majority.
So we are absolutely in the fight. Going to be a tight race, going to be hard, just like many things within my life. And Chuck Schumer is going to have to pry the Senate majority out of my cold, dead hands.
Later yesterday McSally repeated the “cold dead hands” line in an interview with Breitbart. So apparently she’s making that her thing. She also told Breitbart that the New York Times is keeping her book off its bestsellers list because she’s a “conservative woman.” Yeah.
Fired IG says he was working on 5 investigations into State Department
Fired IG says he was working on 5 investigations into State Department
Axios
Ursula Perano, Rebecca Falconer
Former Inspector General Steve Linick told Congress he was conducting five investigations into Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and the State Department before he was fired, transcript released Wednesday shows.
Why it matters: Three of the investigations – a review of the International Women of Courage Award, a special immigrant visa program audit and a prove "involving individuals in the Office of the Protocol" — had not been disclosed publicly until House Democrats released the transcript from Linick's June 3 closed-door interview.
Three congressional committees are investigating whether Pompeo had Linick fired in retaliation for his inquiries.
more...
https://www.axios.com/watchdog-5-state-department-investigations-afa4c20e-439e-4cc4-b926-5803f638f09c.html
Biden: Military Will Remove Trump From the White House if He Refuses to Leave
https://www.thedailybeast.com/biden-says-military-will-remove-trump-from-the-white-house-if-he-refuses-to-leave?ref=homeBiden: Military Will Remove Trump From the White House if He Refuses to Leave
YOU AND WHOSE ARMY
Jamie Ross, Reporter
Published Jun. 11, 2020 5:07AM ET
Reuters / Jim Bourg
A Wasted Presidency
https://politicalwire.com/2020/06/10/a-wasted-presidency/A Wasted Presidency
June 10, 2020 at 11:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard
“It will mostly be because he took his presidency and needlessly drove into the ground, 280 characters at a time.”
'He Is as Lawless and Corrupt as Ever'
https://politicalwire.com/2020/06/10/he-is-as-lawless-and-corrupt-as-ever/‘He Is as Lawless and Corrupt as Ever’
June 10, 2020 at 6:07 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard
The House impeachment managers, writing in the Washington Post:
“The president was not changed by impeachment. He is as lawless and corrupt as ever. But his wrongdoing has far greater consequences given the acute challenges facing the nation, the failure of those around him to curb destructive impulses, and the continued unwillingness of many members of Congress to serve as a meaningful check and balance as the Founders intended.”
Trump's Antifa Fearmongering Looks Like Pure Fantasy
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/06/trumps-antifa-fearmongering-looks-like-pure-fantasyTrump’s Antifa Fearmongering Looks Like Pure Fantasy
As the president and his attorney general blame anti-fascist activists for violence at some protests, none of the DOJ’s cases so far have links to the movement.
By Eric Lutz
June 10, 2020
Donald Trump has attempted to stoke fears among his base—and perhaps to undermine the protests for racial justice that have erupted in the wake of George Floyd’s killing—by suggesting that dangerous antifa operatives have hijacked demonstrations across the country to wreak havoc in American cities. Without evidence, he accused antifa of looting and rioting in Minneapolis. He has suggested that the media is coddling the group, which is “very bad for our country,” and vowed to designate the loose collective, with no apparent structure, a terrorist organization. And, on Tuesday, he promoted an outrageous and baseless conspiracy theory that the 75-year-old man knocked down and injured by police in Buffalo during a protest may have been an “ANTIFA provocateur.”
To hear Trump and his allies tell it, the Black Lives Matter protests across the country are an utter hotbed of subversive antifa activity. There’s just one problem: Though Trump and Attorney General William Barr have blamed antifa for the violence that has sprung up at some of the demonstrations, none of the cases the Department of Justice has brought so far amid the tumult have links to the movement. According to NPR, which reviewed the federal cases that have been brought so far, none of the 51 people who have been rung up on federal charges as of Tuesday had antifa connections. In fact, the only people arrested on federal charges to have a connection to an extremist group were not part of the left, but members of the right-wing Boogaloo movement; three men associated with the group trying to instigate a second Civil War were charged with plotting violence in Las Vegas.
snip//
The president’s fixation with antifa’s supposed involvement in the protests has been grating, but reached a particularly gross level Tuesday when he baselessly suggested Martin Gugino — the elderly cancer patient injured by police in Buffalo and briefly left bleeding from his head on the ground—may have been a member of the group attempting to somehow “black out” police communications equipment and perhaps faked his injuries. “Could be a set up?” Trump wrote.
It was yet another low for the president, but most Republicans once again pretended not to have been aware of his ugly conspiracy theorizing, and his staff brushed it off. “I learned a long time ago not to comment on tweets,” Mark Meadows told reporters Tuesday, “and I’m not going to break that.” A smirking Jared Kushner, walking alongside the chief of staff, did not respond at all. Appearing on Fox & Friends Wednesday, White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany went even further, defending Trump for attacking a hospitalized 75-year-old man. “The president was raising questions based on a report he saw, and they’re questions that need to be asked,” she said, referring to the anonymous blog post promoted by far-right One America News Network where the theory originated. “This individual had some very questionable tweets,” she continued. “Some profanity-laden tweets.” And what would Trump know about any of that?
GOP Expects to Move Convention to Jacksonville
https://politicalwire.com/2020/06/10/gop-expects-to-move-convention-to-jacksonville/GOP Expects to Move Convention to Jacksonville
June 10, 2020 at 6:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 75 Comments
“The details of the arrangement are still in flux and RNC aides are scrambling to determine whether the northern Florida city has enough hotel rooms to accommodate the quadrennial event, which typically kicks off the final stretch of the presidential campaign. Republican officials were in Jacksonville on Monday looking at the city and the surrounding areas.”
Profile Information
Gender: FemaleHometown: NY
Home country: US
Current location: Florida
Member since: Mon Sep 6, 2004, 09:54 PM
Number of posts: 171,099
