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CaliforniaPeggy
CaliforniaPeggy's Journal
CaliforniaPeggy's Journal
August 24, 2019
An early video from Amy McGrath:
&feature=youtu.be
August 20, 2019
CNN will host a Climate Town Hall on September 4th:
https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/19/politics/cnn-climate-crisis-town-hall/index.html?fbclid=IwAR2LbArHLnTdsG4Dl42v0HcVXPyGjHOAo9qoSKTJneL83BiMc7Q3CX2Y_Wc
August 18, 2019
For those of you who know YouPic, today (August 18, 2019) they awarded this photo an inspiration star!
Running in surf...
For those of you who know YouPic, today (August 18, 2019) they awarded this photo an inspiration star!
August 18, 2019
I've decided to learn how to shoot in raw.
I would really appreciate any suggestions you smart folks could give me on which software I could use to get the best results.
Or are there any good books on the subject?
For those of you who shoot in raw, where did you start?
TIA!
August 14, 2019
It's 5 minutes long and very good.
Frank Scheafer on Pete Buttigieg's candidacy:
https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=frank+scheafer&view=detail&mid=4844E0E094930DCC3B734844E0E094930DCC3B73&FORM=VIREIt's 5 minutes long and very good.
August 11, 2019
I spent a week there with my niece and we walked a lot!
I'll put up some links to the photos I took.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/103671419
https://www.democraticunderground.com/103671400
https://www.democraticunderground.com/103670486
https://www.democraticunderground.com/103670357
https://www.democraticunderground.com/103670334
https://www.democraticunderground.com/103670296
August 9, 2019
From the Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy
Heading into the final stretch of summer pundits continue to marvel at Joe Biden’s continued primacy in the Democratic primary polls. Biden’s robust support among black voters is often cited as one of the main drivers behind his continued frontrunner status. Pundits usually discount the ability of his main opponents, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, and Pete Buttigieg, to overtake him based on their lackluster performance among this key constituency of the Democratic Party.
At the end of July, when Monmouth University released their latest South Carolina poll Biden lead the horserace with 39% of the vote, including the support of 51% of blacks respondents. No other candidate came close to challenging Biden. In terms of support among black voters, Buttigieg carried just 1%, Warren 2%, and Harris 12%. The numbers are so overwhelming and have changed so little since Monmouth’s poll at the beginning of July, it is easy to understand why pundits have come to the conclusion that the other Democratic candidates are failing to woo black voters. But the truth is, a sizable portion of the Democratic electorate has yet to tune into the primary, and this has profound impacts on polling data.
Pundits usually preface their assessment of primary polling data with the disclaimer that name recognition is an important driver of both Joe Biden’s as well as Bernie Sanders’ leads in the polls at this point in the process. But few truly comprehend just how profound an impact name recognition, combined with low interest and low participation rates, has on early polling data.
A common misconception is that name recognition can be adequately controlled for. Analysts have a strong incentive to find a way to compare low and high name ID candidates because failing to do so severely limits the use of early polling data. In the case of the massive 2020 Democratic field, we have 2 well-known, nationally recognized candidates and 21 obscure candidates virtually unknown outside their own states. Just 1% of potential Democratic primary voters fail to identify Joe Biden in Morning Consult's Tracking Data,
compared to 7% for Bernie Sanders because Sanders was the runner-up in last cycle’s primary and Biden was Vice President for 8 years under Obama.
The rest at the link. Yes, it's long, but well worth reading.
Pete Buttigieg's Only Problem with Black Voters is They Don't Know Who He Is
http://cnu.edu/wasoncenter/2019/08/08-buttigieg-favorability/?fbclid=IwAR0E_OS3smYM7ADRGYKs0jlC0XhNdcOLBu9pmLj7CaLz9LP-K6G39P3zBUMFrom the Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy
Heading into the final stretch of summer pundits continue to marvel at Joe Biden’s continued primacy in the Democratic primary polls. Biden’s robust support among black voters is often cited as one of the main drivers behind his continued frontrunner status. Pundits usually discount the ability of his main opponents, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, and Pete Buttigieg, to overtake him based on their lackluster performance among this key constituency of the Democratic Party.
At the end of July, when Monmouth University released their latest South Carolina poll Biden lead the horserace with 39% of the vote, including the support of 51% of blacks respondents. No other candidate came close to challenging Biden. In terms of support among black voters, Buttigieg carried just 1%, Warren 2%, and Harris 12%. The numbers are so overwhelming and have changed so little since Monmouth’s poll at the beginning of July, it is easy to understand why pundits have come to the conclusion that the other Democratic candidates are failing to woo black voters. But the truth is, a sizable portion of the Democratic electorate has yet to tune into the primary, and this has profound impacts on polling data.
Pundits usually preface their assessment of primary polling data with the disclaimer that name recognition is an important driver of both Joe Biden’s as well as Bernie Sanders’ leads in the polls at this point in the process. But few truly comprehend just how profound an impact name recognition, combined with low interest and low participation rates, has on early polling data.
A common misconception is that name recognition can be adequately controlled for. Analysts have a strong incentive to find a way to compare low and high name ID candidates because failing to do so severely limits the use of early polling data. In the case of the massive 2020 Democratic field, we have 2 well-known, nationally recognized candidates and 21 obscure candidates virtually unknown outside their own states. Just 1% of potential Democratic primary voters fail to identify Joe Biden in Morning Consult's Tracking Data,
compared to 7% for Bernie Sanders because Sanders was the runner-up in last cycle’s primary and Biden was Vice President for 8 years under Obama.
The rest at the link. Yes, it's long, but well worth reading.
August 7, 2019
It’s not because they’re stupid rednecks.
Voting for Trump is about being part of a large reality show. Really.
The general view of the non-Trump supporter is that those who have chosen to vote for him are rednecks with 12 teeth, six of them in their coat pocket, and it’s possible those teeth might be on loan from someone else. The majority of these Trump supporters are listed primarily as White Uneducated Voters, which is code for “stupid redneck.” The kind of folks who kept their first grade report card because they’re proud of the D they made in conduct. (I made a C.)
However, I know a large number of people who make good money, are well-educated, appear to have a dental plan, and yet, they too are voting for Trump. To me this is as baffling as trigonometry, which until recently I thought had to do with Roy Rogers’ horse.
Thing is, the support of Trump in Texas — and I speak specifically of my region, East Texas — goes beyond the smart and the not so smart, the educated and the uneducated. It is more a result of what I like to call the happily stupid; the ones who hold stupid views by choice, not due to lack of intelligence, but due to a kind of tribalism. Facts that interfere with their version of the world are there to be ignored. It’s like putting a hat on a pig and insisting the porker is your Uncle Frank, contrary to all other evidence.
Trump has provided a dark, dank hole into which these folks can dump whatever it is they’re mad about. Even contradictory views, since Trump frequently changes viewpoint in midsentence, can happily nest there, swelling and breeding like poison fungus.
All of it at the link.
My Neighbors Are Voting For Trump...from the Texas Observer, from 2016. Still relevant!
https://www.texasobserver.org/east-texas-trump-voters-lansdale/?fbclid=IwAR1nuvMOIYXcQcuIHp-ivZ5aA26p5h60tQYh-6geEtct9m0lBKkKKR_Ozo8It’s not because they’re stupid rednecks.
Voting for Trump is about being part of a large reality show. Really.
The general view of the non-Trump supporter is that those who have chosen to vote for him are rednecks with 12 teeth, six of them in their coat pocket, and it’s possible those teeth might be on loan from someone else. The majority of these Trump supporters are listed primarily as White Uneducated Voters, which is code for “stupid redneck.” The kind of folks who kept their first grade report card because they’re proud of the D they made in conduct. (I made a C.)
However, I know a large number of people who make good money, are well-educated, appear to have a dental plan, and yet, they too are voting for Trump. To me this is as baffling as trigonometry, which until recently I thought had to do with Roy Rogers’ horse.
Thing is, the support of Trump in Texas — and I speak specifically of my region, East Texas — goes beyond the smart and the not so smart, the educated and the uneducated. It is more a result of what I like to call the happily stupid; the ones who hold stupid views by choice, not due to lack of intelligence, but due to a kind of tribalism. Facts that interfere with their version of the world are there to be ignored. It’s like putting a hat on a pig and insisting the porker is your Uncle Frank, contrary to all other evidence.
Trump has provided a dark, dank hole into which these folks can dump whatever it is they’re mad about. Even contradictory views, since Trump frequently changes viewpoint in midsentence, can happily nest there, swelling and breeding like poison fungus.
All of it at the link.
August 6, 2019
A follow-up email to the earlier one on gun control from Pete Buttigieg:
Peggy,
Yesterday, in the wake of the shootings in El Paso and Dayton, you heard from Pete about how our nation is under attack from white nationalist terrorists, helped by an unchecked gun lobby. If we’re serious about confronting this threat, we have to name it and act decisively to defeat it.
That’s why, today, Pete announced an action plan to take on gun violence and domestic, white nationalist terror in our nation: An Action Plan to Combat the National Threat Posed by Hate and the Gun Lobby.
Pete's plan has bold, innovative ideas -- but it doesn't stop there. Pete knows we need to build political power to enact and sustain new policy. This plan provides both, and we need supporters like you to read it and keep advocating for change.
Since Pete’s first message, nearly 17,000 of you called the Senate to demand common-sense gun legislation. This is a start, and we have to sustain our fight. Like Pete said this morning, the old politics of cut-and-paste condemnation and letting mass shootings fade from the headlines won’t work -- we need a new approach. Here’s what you can do now:
Keep calling your senators at 877-615-7198
Forward this message to your friends, family, and neighbors
Share the plan on Twitter to help us bring more Americans to this cause
By keeping up the pressure and demanding better, we can move past decades-old policy failures with a new approach -- and deliver the change our country so urgently needs.
Thank you,
Pete for America
August 5, 2019
Today marks seven years since an armed white supremacist stormed a Sikh Temple in Oak Creek, Wisconsin, killing six.
Just two days ago, an armed white supremacist -- emboldened by weak gun laws and a white nationalist ideology condoned at the highest levels of government -- killed 22 people at a shopping mall in El Paso. Hours later, another gunman opened fire in Dayton, Ohio.
This past weekend’s shootings happened as I was visiting Las Vegas, where just two years earlier, a gunman killed 58 people.
Our country is under attack from white nationalist terrorism, inspiring murder on our soil and abetted by weak gun laws. If we are serious about national security, we must summon the courage to name and defeat this evil.
Instead, this administration is amplifying the hateful rhetoric that validates these domestic terrorists and failing to take the steps necessary to disarm them.
We are the only country in the world with more guns than people. It has not made us safer. We can acknowledge the Second Amendment and still adopt the common-sense gun laws that the majority of Americans support. Many such measures command the support of a majority -- even of Republicans and gun owners -- but not on Capitol Hill.
The NRA no longer speaks for gun owners. It speaks for the executives of gun corporations. And it shows you that Washington has been captured by special interests that no longer reflect the American people.
This past weekend’s tragedies make us angry, sorrowful, and worried for those we love and for our own futures. But we must confront this darkness head on, and do more than condemn these attacks on our communities. We must act.
Today, call your Senators and tell them you demand they pass common-sense gun legislation that the majority of Americans want. Dial 877-615-7198 and we’ll connect you.
These moments are extremely difficult and we have big challenges ahead. But these are problems we can solve. We can do this -- but only if we’re ready to walk away from what hasn’t worked and take bold action. We need to summon the courage to break with the past and focus on specific, practical solutions. We need to confront this threat with the urgency it deserves.
Like so many in the generation that came of age around September 11th, I signed up to fight the terrorist threat to our nation as a military officer. Now, in the face of white nationalist terror, our leaders must stand up to fight this threat to our national security.
We need our leaders to act, but first they need to hear from you. You are part of the light that will drive out this darkness. Together, we will work even harder to create a better future, and make those who come after us proud of how we met this moment.
Pete
Pete for America
This email from Pete Buttigieg just arrived today:
Peggy,Today marks seven years since an armed white supremacist stormed a Sikh Temple in Oak Creek, Wisconsin, killing six.
Just two days ago, an armed white supremacist -- emboldened by weak gun laws and a white nationalist ideology condoned at the highest levels of government -- killed 22 people at a shopping mall in El Paso. Hours later, another gunman opened fire in Dayton, Ohio.
This past weekend’s shootings happened as I was visiting Las Vegas, where just two years earlier, a gunman killed 58 people.
Our country is under attack from white nationalist terrorism, inspiring murder on our soil and abetted by weak gun laws. If we are serious about national security, we must summon the courage to name and defeat this evil.
Instead, this administration is amplifying the hateful rhetoric that validates these domestic terrorists and failing to take the steps necessary to disarm them.
We are the only country in the world with more guns than people. It has not made us safer. We can acknowledge the Second Amendment and still adopt the common-sense gun laws that the majority of Americans support. Many such measures command the support of a majority -- even of Republicans and gun owners -- but not on Capitol Hill.
The NRA no longer speaks for gun owners. It speaks for the executives of gun corporations. And it shows you that Washington has been captured by special interests that no longer reflect the American people.
This past weekend’s tragedies make us angry, sorrowful, and worried for those we love and for our own futures. But we must confront this darkness head on, and do more than condemn these attacks on our communities. We must act.
Today, call your Senators and tell them you demand they pass common-sense gun legislation that the majority of Americans want. Dial 877-615-7198 and we’ll connect you.
These moments are extremely difficult and we have big challenges ahead. But these are problems we can solve. We can do this -- but only if we’re ready to walk away from what hasn’t worked and take bold action. We need to summon the courage to break with the past and focus on specific, practical solutions. We need to confront this threat with the urgency it deserves.
Like so many in the generation that came of age around September 11th, I signed up to fight the terrorist threat to our nation as a military officer. Now, in the face of white nationalist terror, our leaders must stand up to fight this threat to our national security.
We need our leaders to act, but first they need to hear from you. You are part of the light that will drive out this darkness. Together, we will work even harder to create a better future, and make those who come after us proud of how we met this moment.
Pete
Pete for America
Profile Information
Name: PeggyGender: Female
Hometown: Manhattan Beach, CA
Home country: USA
Current location: At home
Member since: Thu Feb 3, 2005, 02:41 PM
Number of posts: 149,614
