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UncleNoel

Profile Information

Member since: Mon Jul 11, 2005, 11:05 AM
Number of posts: 858

About Me

White, male, expatriate living in the mountains of central Taiwan, Oregon permanent address, 34 years of age. Born in St. Louis. Army brat lived all over. Veteran of the Korean War (sieved in Libya and Austin, Texas). Ph.D. in anthropology and linguistics, Indiana University. Career in linguistics and ESL at numerous US and foreign institutions. Spent most of my career as a director of English as a Second Language programs. Taught at National Chi Nan Unversity, Puli, Taiwan over the years 1995-2016. Retired as an orchard keeper with my life partner Judy Wu of the Bunun Austronesian tribe in our mountain hideaway cabin, High Mountain Orchards.

Journal Archives

Democratic presidential hopeful Biden aims to keep Nevada on his side

https://www.yahoo.com/news/democratic-presidential-hopeful-biden-aims-212432514.html

By Trevor Hunnicutt

SPARKS, Nev. (Reuters) - Democratic U.S. presidential candidate Joe Biden, who wears the nickname "working class Joe" with pride and courts a multi-racial voter base, faces a stern test of his ability to win nationally in Nevada's mining towns and unionized gambling parlors.

Nevada's Feb. 22 nominating contest is the third one in the state-by-state process of picking a Democratic nominee to face Republican President Donald Trump in the Nov. 3 general election. The former vice president's advisers have said Biden's strength in the Democratic race will show in racially diverse states such as Nevada, with its large Latino population, and South Carolina, with its sizable black population.

Even if Biden does not win in predominantly white Iowa on Feb. 3 or New Hampshire on Feb. 11 - the states with the first two nominating contests - he is expected to make up the ground once the race moves onto Nevada, then South Carolina on Feb. 29 and the 14 states holding contests on Super Tuesday on March 3, according to his advisers.

****

Edward Mercado, 72, a retired car-assembly worker, said Biden's experience as Barack Obama's vice president for eight years was a key reason for his support, adding that no current candidate matches the former president's charisma.

"There's a lot of them that stand out but you have to go with experience," specifically Biden's experience under Obama, Mercado said.

Biden, who was touring the state on Saturday as part of a two-day campaign swing, invested in Nevada early in his campaign and carved out a clear lead in opinion polls in the state. His campaign opened six offices across the state and hired about 50 staff members.

Biden drew a standing-room only crowd on Friday to a high school gymnasium in Sparks, Nevada.



Biden picks up Colin Allred as 10th Black Caucus endorser

https://www.yahoo.com/news/biden-picks-colin-allred-10th-105009856.html

Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden on Monday picked up his 10th endorsement from a Congressional Black Caucus member, with Texas Rep. Colin Allred’s decision underscoring the former vice president’s advantage with a crucial party constituency less than a month before 2020 voting begins.

Allred also gives Biden support from another House freshman who flipped a Republican district in the 2018 midterms, and he’s the latest Texas Democrat to back Biden after initially siding with Texan Julián Castro, who ended his presidential bid Jan. 2 and has since endorsed one of Biden’s more progressive rivals, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren.

“This is a really dangerous time for the country,” Allred told The Associated Press, pointing to a recent flareup with Iran. “We have to nominate someone in the Democratic Party who can unite the country and heal the divisions that are going on.”

Allred, a former Obama administration lawyer and NFL linebacker, sidestepped Castro’s endorsement of Warren, but said Biden best represents the Democratic mainstream, and he warned that going too far left could doom the party in November. He pointed to midterm victories like his own, when he won 52% of the vote to defeat Republican Pete Sessions and become the first Democrat and first African American to represent his suburban Dallas district.


Poll: Biden leads in N.H.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/new-hampshire/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_2020_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries#New_Hampshire_primary

Patinkin Research Strategies, Jan. 6-7 (LV MOE +/-4)

Biden 21
Sanders 19 (within the MOE)
Buttigieg 17 (Pete barely reaches Biden with MOE))
Warren 10 (Not good news for Liz)

Haven't seen this posted. Joe and Bernie very close, Pete not so much, Liz way down.

Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen Wins Reelection With Record Support

Source: Time

Tsai Ing-wen has won reelection as President of Taiwan on Saturday night by a landslide, defeating the populist challenge of her pro-China opponent in a campaign dominated by how to handle growing pressure from Beijing.

As of 8:30 p.m. local time, with the vote still being tallied, she had received a record 7.7 million votes. Han Kuo-yu, of the Kuomintang Party (KMT), had received about 5.2 million votes at that time, according to Bloomberg. Han told supporters Saturday that he called Tsai to congratulate her on her victory, the Associated Press reported.

Read more: https://news.yahoo.com/taiwan-president-tsai-ing-wen-132743364.html



The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP} also retains control of the legistlature. The DPP held the presidency for 8 years under President Chen followed by 8 years with President Ma of the KMT who was succeeded by Tsai who now will have four more years.

While often described as "independence=leaning", the DPP ha maintained a position of the status quo under Chen and Tsai without pressing to change the de facto vibrant democracy into a de jure independent country. It is clear from this election that the people of Taiwan do not want the kind of mess they see with Hong Kong and want to maintain their own democratic status in the face of unrelenting Chinese communist pressure and threats.

USA TODAY/Ipsos Poll, "A majority ... 52%-34%, called Trump's behavior with Iran 'reckless.'"

https://www.rawstory.com/2020/01/iran-debacle-is-blowing-up-in-trumps-face-as-voters-overwhelmingly-call-president-reckless-report/
Iran debacle is blowing up in Trump’s face as voters overwhelmingly call president ‘reckless’: report'

“There was overwhelming agreement – in each case by more than 6-1 – that the attack made it more likely Iran would strike American interests in the Middle East (69%), that there would be terrorist attacks on the American homeland (63%), and that the United States and Iran would go to war with each other (62%),” USA Today reports. 52%-8%, those polled said the attack made it more likely that Iran would develop nuclear weapons.”

“Nearly a third of Republicans, who typically support the president, said it had made the nation less safe,” they added.


Iowa congresswoman endorsing Joe Biden's presidential bid

BILL BARROW,Associated Press•January 2, 2020
https://www.yahoo.com/news/iowa-congresswoman-endorsing-joe-bidens-105512906.html

snip//
Joe Biden has landed a high-profile endorsement for his presidential bid as Rep. Abby Finkenauer becomes the first member of the Iowa congressional delegation to take sides in the Democratic nominating contest.

Finkenauer, a first-term House member from a district Donald Trump won in 2016, will campaign with Biden this weekend, with less than four weeks to go before the Feb. 3 Iowa caucuses that lead off Democrats' 2020 voting.

The congresswoman said in an interview with The Associated Press ahead of Thursday's announcement that the former vice president's experience, his proposals on infrastructure and other economic matters and his appeal to a wide range of voters make him the ideal Democrat to take on Trump.

“We need somebody at the top who can lead from the White House, someone who’s willing to unite not just Democrats but the country,” Finkenauer said. “There are days where I swear Democrats and Republicans are speaking different languages, and there’s no translator. ... (Biden) is the translator.”


More good stuff in the article.

Not everyone sees Biden's broad outreach as disqualifying!

The congresswoman is scheduled to appear alongside Biden in at least eight cities and towns as part of a 10-county, five-day Iowa tour that begins Thursday. It won't be their first pairing; Finkenauer was among the dozens of Democratic House candidates Biden campaigned for ahead of the 2018 midterms.

Her potential influence, even as a freshman, was on display in November, when nine presidential candidates visited her northeastern Iowa district for a forum she co-sponsored with labor groups. That slate included the four candidates — Biden, former Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana, Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont — who polls suggest are the top contenders in Iowa.

Finkenauer did not frame her support for Biden as a rejection of his rivals, saying she's "not going to speak to what’s going to win votes and what’s not.” Yet her explanation aligns with Biden's argument that a center-left approach, coupled with his record as a senator and vice president, makes him Democrats' best option in a general election.

2020 Vision for the future: President Biden will restore, reform America!

Happy New Year to all!

We have a great slate of candidates, but I believe Joe Biden is our best choice.

He will beat tRump like a drum.

Microsoft News Poll: 55% favor Trump Removal, 40% oppose his removal

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/daily-presidential-tracking-poll/ar-AADKLI1

Margin of Error for Removal of Trump: 52-58
Margin of Error for Not Removing Trump: 37-43

Bad news for Trump all around.



Who would you vote for:
Democratic Party Nominee: 49%
Trump: 40%

Country moving in right/wrong Direction:
Wrong Direction: 58%
Right Direction: 32%

Should this be posted on General Discussion? I'm so settled into this thread and it does impinge on the General Election and by implication on the primary. Ugh!





REMINDER:I like 270towin's poll selection and Aggregate Averages

Biden is pretty consistently breaking the 30s barrier and increasing his lead in polls and endorsements.

https://www.270towin.com/2020-democratic-nomination/


For comparison here is Wikipedia's Aggregate of Averages.



Sanders and Warren remain steady in the mid-/late teens, Buttigieg is not breaking the double digit mark anymore. He has Liz above and Amy below crimping his lead and this might begin to show up even in Iowa and NH. Can't underestimate Sanders' strength, but Biden is without doubt leading gthe pack as he has consistently done but he is still incdreasing his lead, ading endorsements, and will have a solid money chase disclosure in January

I want to contribute, but he cupboard is bare. Will manage $9 before next Tuesday to do my best.

The debate that didn't matter. Maybe its time to start voting!

https://www.yahoo.com/news/debate-didnt-matter-045136877.html

Kind of a cute take on the December debate.

Snip//

Biden will stay in the lead. Warren will continue her slow fade. Bernie Sanders will keep consolidating his position as the great left-populist alternative to the frontrunner. Buttigieg will settle in as the fallback option for centrists if Biden has a complete meltdown. Klobuchar will still fail to light anyone's fire. Yang will remain the true wild card. And Steyer will continue to be the guy who bought himself onto the debate stage. (Perhaps Michael Bloomberg will eventually figure out a way to do the same.)

Another debate in the can. Maybe it's time to finally start voting.


At least the next debate will focus on the first state to have a real vote...
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