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tgards79

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Member since: Thu Aug 7, 2014, 09:37 AM
Number of posts: 1,308

About Me

My blog: http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/

Journal Archives

BTRTN Senate and House Mid-Term Snapshot: Still a Split Decision

BTRTN’s latest on the race for control of Congress, complete with the odds of a Dem takeover of the House, and of the Senate:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/08/btrtn-senate-house-mid-term-snapshot.html

"The headline of our latest mid-term “snapshot” is that the basic dynamic remains the same: the Democrats have an excellent chance to take over the House in November, and an outside chance to do the same in the Senate.

We have new proprietary BTRTN models that calculate the odds of the Democrats taking over each branch of Congress. These odds will be updated frequently and sit atop our “right hand column” (as you can see). If Election Day were today – and it is important to note this is not a prediction, just a snapshot of where things stand -- here are the latest odds of the Democrats taking over the House and the Senate in the 2018 mid-terms..."

BTRTN Senate and House Mid-Term Snapshot: Still a Split Decision

BTRTN’s latest on the race for control of Congress, complete with the odds of a Dem takeover of the House, and of the Senate:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/08/btrtn-senate-house-mid-term-snapshot.html

BTRTN Senate and House Mid-Term Snapshot: Still a Split Decision

BTRTN’s latest on the race for control of Congress, complete with the odds of a Dem takeover of the House, and of the Senate:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/08/btrtn-senate-house-mid-term-snapshot.html

BTRTN: Ohio's 12th District Special Election: Do the Dems Make Another Statement Tonight?

The BTRTN assessment of (and official prediction for) tonight's pivotal House special election in Ohio's 12th district. Plus check out the new BTRTN "odds of the Dems taking the House and Senate" chart at the top of the right hand column of the site.
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/08/btrtn-ohios-12th-district-special.html

"The two contenders are Republican state Senator Troy Balderson and Democrat Danny O’Connor, the Franklin County Recorder. O’Connor has been running surprisingly well, setting the potential for an upset reminiscent of Doug Jones (the Democratic Senator who won in Alabama) and Conor Lamb (the Democrat who won Pennsylvania’s 18th District in the House). Oddly, the winner will serve only until January; the seat will be contested again in November.

This is a “must win” for the GOP, and, in desperation, they’ve thrown everything they have at the election to support Balderson, including the endorsement of Donald Trump.

Even a close race, of course, would tell a tale, and one similar to so many special elections in 2017 and 2018. And that is the tale of the Democrats running far better than in 2016, either losing by previously-thought-to-be unthinkably close margins -- or flat out winning.

Our official BTRTN prediction is that..."

BTRTN: Ohio's 12th District Special Election: Do the Dems Make Another Statement Tonight?

The BTRTN assessment of (and official prediction for) tonight's pivotal House special election in Ohio's 12th district. Plus check out the new BTRTN "odds of the Dems taking the House and Senate" chart at the top of the right hand column of the site.
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/08/btrtn-ohios-12th-district-special.html

BTRTN: Ohio's 12th District Special Election: Do the Dems Make Another Statement Tonight?

The BTRTN assessment of (and official prediction for) tonight's pivotal House special election in Ohio's 12th district. Plus check out the new BTRTN "odds of the Dems taking the House and Senate" chart at the top of the right hand column of the site.
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/08/btrtn-ohios-12th-district-special.html
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