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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
January 21, 2023

The 2 US Senate seats in NC will help Democrats regain and retain control in 2026 and 2028.

In 2024, Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that could go Republican is WV(Manchin-D) and MT(Tester-D). WV and MT are the 2 states the Republican Presidential Nominee won by a double digit margin in 2012,2016, and 2020. 49D 51R

In 2026, All of the Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2026 including GA(Ossoff-D) and MI(Peters-D) will remain in the Democratic column. Democrats will win the 2026 US Senate Election in NC with Jeff Jackson. 50D 50R

In 2028, All of the Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2028 including AZ(Kelly-D),GA(Warnock-D),NV(Cortez Masto-D),and PA(Fetterman-D) will remain in the Democratic column. Democrats will win the 2028 US Senate Election in NC with Wiley Nickel and the 2028 US Senate Election in WI with Josh Kaul. The Democratic nominee for the 2026 WI Gubernatorial Election will either be Mandela Barnes, Sarah Godlewski or Sara Rodriguez.

January 21, 2023

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Senate Election in MD,MI,and VT?

MD if Cardin retires?
Raskin-D or Sarbanes-D?
MI?
Slotkin-D or Stevens-D?
VT if Sanders retires?
Zuckerman-D or Balint-D?

AZ-Gallego
CA(the front runners in the blanket primary is Porter-D and Schiff-D).

January 21, 2023

Jamie Raskin(D-MD) is better off remaining in the US House of Representatives as a Top Democrat in

US House Oversight and Accountability or Reform Committee than a freshman US Senator.
The US needs Jamie Raskin in the US House Oversight and Reform Committee to make sure Marjorie Taylor Greene, Paul Gosar, and Lauren Boebert behave themselves.

January 21, 2023

Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024.

Definitely seeking re-election in 2024.
1)CT(Murphy-D)
2)HI(Hirono-D)
3)MA(Warren-D)
4)MN(Klobuchar-D)
5)NV(Rosen-D)
6)NM(Heinrich-D)
7)NY(Gillibrand-D)
8)OH(Brown-D)
9)VA(Kaine-D)
10)WA(Cantwell-D)
Have not made a formal announcement but are likely going to run.
11)DE(Carper-D)
12)ME(King-I)
13)NJ(Menendez-D)
14)PA(Casey-D)
15)RI(Whitehouse-D)
16)WI(Baldwin-D)

Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that will get new US Senators.
1)AZ(Sinema-I)Gallego-D
2)CA(Feinstein-D)Porter-D/Schiff-D
3)MI(Stabenow-D)Slotkin-D/Stevens-D
4)MD(Cardin-D)Raskin-D/Sarbanes-D)
5)VT(Sanders-I)Balint-D
Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that could go either way regardless of whether or not the incumbent seeks re-election.
1)MT(Tester-D)
2)WV(Manchin-D)

January 20, 2023

2024 VA US Senate General Election matchup.

Kaine-D vs Youngkin-R
Kaine-D vs Good-R(Pro MAGA Trump Republican US House Member) Good voted against a House resolution awarding Congressional Gold Medals to the Capital Police officers present at the 1/6/2021 riots. Good supported the 1/6/2021 rioters and impeaching Biden and Harris because he strongly believed that Trump won.

Northam-D vs Youngkin-R
Northam-D vs Good-R

Wexton-D vs Youngkin-R
Wexton-D vs Good-R


I will like to see Bob Good-R be the Republican nominee for the 2024 Virginia US Senate Election because he is gift that keeps giving.
Jen Kiggans will allow Democrats to win back the VA-2 US House seat.
Rob Wittman,Ben Cline,and Morgan Griffith are generic Republicans that represents safe Republican districts.

January 20, 2023

Youngkin is not going to win the 2024 VA US Senate Election regardless of what Kaine does.

Youngkin has been Governor for 1 year. Anything can happen from now to 11/2024 (1 year & 10 months). Are voters in VA going to approve of Youngkin leaving the VA Governors office before his term ends? National Republican voters and Independent voters in NC and GA decide whether or not Youngkin leaves the VA Governors office to become President or Vice President of the US. In the VA US Senate Elections, It is the Independent voters in VA that will decide whether or not Youngkin becomes the US Senator.
2024 is a Presidential Election Year. The Democratic Nominee for President will win the popular vote in VA by a 5 to 10 percent margin.
Kaine,Northam,Wexton,Spanberger,and Luria will defeat who ever the Republican nominee is for US Senator.

Luria is better off winning back her US House seat that she narrowly lost in 2022.
Spanberger is better off seeking re-election to her US House seat. VA-7 is a Tossup is Spanberger does not seek re-election.
Wexton’s US House District VA-10 is strongly favorable to the Democrats.

In a November General Election matchup between
Kaine-D vs Youngkin-R
Northam-D vs Youngkin-R
Wexton-D vs Youngkin-R
The Democratic nominee will win.

January 20, 2023

Who is going to be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 VA US Senate Election if Kaine retires?

1)Former Governor Ralph Northam-D.
Former VA Governors that were elected to the US Senate after 3 years leaving the Governorship.
Chuck Robb(Left the Governors office in 1985/Elected to the US Senate in 1988.)
George Allen(Left the Governors office in 1997/Elected to the US Senate in 2000.)
Mark Warner(Left the Governors office in 2005/Elected to the US Senate in 2008.)
Tim Kaine(Left the Governors office in 2009/Elected to the US Senate in 2012.)
Tim Kaine’s successor for Governor of VA was a Republican Bob McDonnell.
Ralph Northam’s successor for Governor of VA is Republican Glenn Youngkin.
2)US Representative Jennifer Wexton-D. VA-10 is more safer for Democrats than VA-7(Abigail Spanberger-D) and VA-2(Elaine Lauria-D).




January 19, 2023

George Santos favorite song.

January 19, 2023

How will Katie Hill do if she runs for her US House seat in CA against Mike Garcia in 2024?

When Katie Hill left the US House, CA-25(The District Hill and Garcia represented in 2019 was EVEN).
Garcia won the old CA-25/new CA-27 which is now a +4D district against Christy Smith by a 6 percent margin.

Christy Smith needs to be replaced as the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US House Election in CA-27.

Will Katie Hill do any better than Christy Smith?

Is there a Democrat in CA-27 that can perform better than Katie Hill and Christy Smith?

If Katie Hill had not resigned in 2019, the worst thing that Hill would have faced was a censure. Hill would have won re-election in 2020 and 2022.

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